January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

nbm-conus-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-2226400.png
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Jr I worry about these things but I'm going to have to see other models jump on board before I believe that GEM. Not to say this won't be bad but that would be absolutely catastrophic if it verified.
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sun Jan 09, 2022 3:42 pm Jr I worry about these things but I'm going to have to see other models jump on board before I believe that GEM. Not to say this won't be bad but that would be absolutely catastrophic if it verified.
The ICON has jumped on board now. :thumbdown: :sick:
icon-all-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-2096800.png
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sun Jan 09, 2022 2:26 pm Looks bad South of the Fraser as well. Do you think the snowpack will help to absorb the rainfall to lower the flooding and landslide risk?
Yeah it should help. But with the amount of rain the RGEM is showing over a 48hr period (especially across the north shore), flooding will undoubtedly be a problem. Good news is the other models look much less extreme at this point.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sun Jan 09, 2022 3:35 pm nbm-conus-vancouverski-total_precip_mm-2226400.png
That doesn't look bad at all. More along the lines of what we saw in mid Jan 2017 after the long cold snap.
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Canada Goose
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

What about the snow line?
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tyweather
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Sun Jan 09, 2022 4:35 pm What about the snow line?
5500-6000 ft
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

https://twitter.com/Alan_G_Smith_BC/sta ... m1kZg&s=19

A river of stupid tweets. :14clown: :14clown:
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Friend sent me these snaps from Rose Lake 35k SE of Willy's Puddle where it snows twice as much more than the Shimilkameeeeeeeenzzzz. :D before and after shoveling.
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Slytyguy
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Slytyguy »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 09, 2022 6:10 pm https://twitter.com/Alan_G_Smith_BC/sta ... m1kZg&s=19

A river of stupid tweets. :14clown: :14clown:
The media sensationalizing these terms in or out of context is the biggest issue I have, not the term itself
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sun Jan 09, 2022 3:42 pm Jr I worry about these things but I'm going to have to see other models jump on board before I believe that GEM. Not to say this won't be bad but that would be absolutely catastrophic if it verified.
Jr. Man appears awfully concerned. :eek: not to worry my friend we survived the great flood of 2021, what could possibly go wrong. :D
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

The GFS is really progressive with the moisture and most goes north.
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tyweather
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

A bit of backdoor arctic air in the :14clown: range.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

tyweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 09, 2022 9:35 pm The GFS is really progressive with the moisture and most goes north.
Good to see, the ice melted today off the trees in the central valley today which was terrific to see. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

tyweather wrote: ↑Sun Jan 09, 2022 9:38 pm A bit of backdoor arctic air in the :14clown: range.
Basically Ty my man we would want to see these signals showing up this week. a mid Feb. event just doesn't cut it for me, Feb 2019 was an unbelievable exception. IMO
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