February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:25 am :think:

UKMET.png
:think: :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Monty
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:50 am The surface temp maps bonovox posted showed high 1c/low -3c at YVR. Is that considered a legit arctic outbreak these days? :lol:
No! :cry:

It’s a chilly airmass but certainly not arctic. The bar is set pretty low right now.
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Hawk
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:47 am What do you think. Should we let any of the #teamsnow bus jumpers back on? Catnip?
:think: :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:53 am:think: :think:
Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Its sunny. I guess I should go to work. :thumbdown:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

ecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-2785600.png
ukmet-wmo-nhemi-z500_anom-2785600.png
gfs-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-2785600.png
gem-all-nhemi-z500_anom-2785600.png
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:50 am The surface temp maps bonovox posted showed high 1c/low -3c at YVR. Is that considered a legit arctic outbreak these days? :lol:
It shows a low of -21 in hope gfs
And -15 in hope euro

Imo that’s legit. Don’t know if it will happen but that’s pretty cold tell me the last time we saw -21 in hope?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

NAVGEM looks like it’s building an Alaskan ridge next weeks. Splits the Alaskan vortex. What is that model anyway. The Canadian navy model? :thumbup:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:11 am Does weatherbell have the Ukmet. It’s really cold.
ukmet2mtemps.png
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

John wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 11:01 am It shows a low of -21 in hope gfs
And -15 in hope euro

Imo that’s legit. Don’t know if it will happen but that’s pretty cold tell me the last time we saw -21 in hope?
Those are temps at 5000ft or so. 850mb temps
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 11:11 am Those are temps at 5000ft or so. 850mb temps
I was just about to say. I don't think he read the legend.

850mb temps of -15c at YVR would be a legit arctic outbreak, but the criteria should be lower in Hope, given average winter temps are about 2-3c lower than Vancouver.
Last edited by Typeing3 on Wed Feb 03, 2021 11:16 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:shock: :o :shock:

Major improvement on the GFS ensembles for the short term.

12Z:
gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_tmp-2353600.png

06Z:
gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_tmp-2332000.png
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Cloverdale »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:54 am Its sunny. I guess I should go to work. :thumbdown:
Maybe it is a work from home kind of day,

:eh:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:47 am What do you think. Should we let any of the #teamsnow bus jumpers back on? Catnip?
Image
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Feb 03, 2021 10:38 am Some trace amounts of snow in places Sunday/Monday.

snow sunday-monday.png
DOUGHNUT HOLE!
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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