July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jul 15, 2021 5:35 pm Is it too early to think feetz?
Never!!! :lol: :lol:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Thu Jul 15, 2021 7:54 pm Awfully quiet in here these day's l could run around naked in here and no one would know. :lol: :shifty: :wtf:
Too late, you'll have to wait until next May 7, naked gardening day...then it's ok. :lol:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Clear blue skies with a high of 25C here today. Marine push seems stronger tonight.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14197
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28394 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
SnowGranny
Donator
Donator
Posts: 116
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:18 pm
Has thanked: 94 times
Been thanked: 324 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SnowGranny »

This is a photo of our house last night. The house is the light at the bottom of the photo. No water bombers out today so I assume the wind is blowing the fire away from me. I didn’t sleep much last night.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4824
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 30784 times
Been thanked: 10436 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

SnowGranny wrote: Fri Jul 16, 2021 9:40 am This is a photo of our house last night. The house is the light at the bottom of the photo. No water bombers out today so I assume the wind is blowing the fire away from me. I didn’t sleep much last night.
That's insane! Hope everything turns out ok! :o
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

It just started to feel like rain, and it's dark with some lowish clouds. Fingers crossed.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14197
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28394 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Jul 16, 2021 2:43 pm 12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
I can already tell were in for a heatwave/smokefest at the end of July.
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14197
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28394 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Jul 16, 2021 3:45 pm I can already tell were in for a heatwave/smokefest at the end of July.
Late July/early Aug is statistically the warmest and driest time of year.

Wouldn't surprise me if we see a 5-7 day stretch above 30c across the lower mainland. Except at YVR of course. :lol:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
moonshadow0825
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 547
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 5:51 pm
Location: Ladner
Has thanked: 4429 times
Been thanked: 1256 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

SnowGranny wrote: Fri Jul 16, 2021 9:40 am This is a photo of our house last night. The house is the light at the bottom of the photo. No water bombers out today so I assume the wind is blowing the fire away from me. I didn’t sleep much last night.
Holy cow! glad the wind is working in your favor, fingers crossed they keep heading in the right direction
:wsnow: :13snow:

Ladner, elevation 4m
Coquitlam79
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 491
Joined: Sun May 05, 2019 6:48 pm
Location: Pipeline road near town centre park, Coquitlam
Has thanked: 70 times
Been thanked: 1130 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Jul 16, 2021 3:45 pm I can already tell were in for a heatwave/smokefest at the end of July.
Those ensembles look pretty normal with some heat in late July early August. These next 4 weeks are the driest of the year climatologically speaking. It will be nice to wring out some rain from this system, even if it's just a mm or 2. it looks it looks like it's trying!
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Jul 16, 2021 4:16 pm Late July/early Aug is statistically the warmest and driest time of year.

Wouldn't surprise me if we see a 5-7 day stretch above 30c across the lower mainland. Except at YVR of course. :lol:
The yvr average temps somewhat surprisingly never exceed 22C. The anomaly should statistically go either way. It just never seems to go very negative in this new climate. Just like late December/early January seem to magically torch year after year despite being statistically the coldest time frame.
User avatar
Mattman
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 286
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:13 am
Elevation: 65 M.
Has thanked: 360 times
Been thanked: 980 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Mattman »

Curious as to how some of the fires will behave tonight into tomorrow. The fire near Brenda Mines is an area prone to strong westerly winds. And I think that fire would be at the elevation of lodgepole pine. Those trees grow close together. Once it crowns and you got wind from a dry, weak ULL, you get rank 5-6 behaviour. I remember that from the fire it '03 in Kelowna. Once it creeped into that elevation with stiff westerlies, it was again unstoppable.
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Fri Jul 16, 2021 7:10 pm Those ensembles look pretty normal with some heat in late July early August. These next 4 weeks are the driest of the year climatologically speaking. It will be nice to wring out some rain from this system, even if it's just a mm or 2. it looks it looks like it's trying!
Despite it feeling like it might rain earlier, nothing here yet...it's dark but the cloud is pretty high and doesn't have that rain feel, maybe later
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
Post Reply