January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 1:29 pm Also close to a southerly windstorm!
Colder runs ahead! C'mon!!
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Storm wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 1:57 pm Colder runs ahead! C'mon!!
I'm just hoping we can score again late month with the next SSW event and MJO phase 7 state. But I'm not overly confident. :silent: :think:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 2:01 pm I'm just hoping we can score again late month with the next SSW event and MJO phase 7 state. But I'm not overly confident. :silent: :think:
"#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB"
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 2:07 pm "#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB"
Is MJO phase 7 still favourable for PNW cold during El Niño or is that just during La Niña? Or does ENSO even make a difference?
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The GFS is caving to the GEM. Maybe one day they will just retire the model and go back to the drawing board? :roll: :lol:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5514400.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 2:12 pm Is MJO phase 7 still favourable for PNW cold during El Niño or is that just during La Niña? Or does ENSO even make a difference?
ENSO state doesn't make a difference to my knowledge
:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 2:14 pm The GFS is caving to the GEM. Maybe one day they will just retire the model and go back to the drawing board? :roll: :lol:


gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5514400.png
Looking great for Seattle!
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 2:14 pm The GFS is caving to the GEM. Maybe one day they will just retire the model and go back to the drawing board? :roll: :lol:


gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5514400.png
They should revert back to the previous version. Seemed a bit better.

:shrug:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 1:40 pm December 2, 2007 had both. Abbotsford recorded 30.2cm of snow followed by wind gusts up to 111km/h. :shock: :wave:
I'd take it
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

8c6hnz.jpg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 2:14 pm The GFS is caving to the GEM. Maybe one day they will just retire the model and go back to the drawing board? :roll: :lol:


gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5514400.png
What a beautiful map. I hope the Euro also looks the same tonight.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

https://x.com/RyanVoutilainen/status/17 ... 90581?s=20

Okanagan Lake Steam Devil

Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 2:33 pm What a beautiful map. I hope the Euro also looks the same tonight.
Only 7cm of snowfall so far this winter imby.

This time last year I had already measured 69cm.

Would be nice to add on to our totals this year.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Lake effect snow in Kelowna.

https://x.com/Zach_wx/status/1745940642537373863?s=20

8-) 8-)
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Jan 12, 2024 2:48 pm Only 7cm of snowfall so far this winter imby.

This time last year I had already measured 69cm.

Would be nice to add on to our totals this year.
3 for me compared to 59 at this date last year. My hope is to make it to double digits.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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