October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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stuffradio
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by stuffradio »

Looks like TWN is expecting a ridgy November/December with a colder Jan/Feb.

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/ne ... nto-winter
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 93381?s=20
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 19, 2021 9:50 am October troughing

November and December ridging :thumbup:
Been fairly zonal so far in October, imo. Seems like it'll continue thru late month.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Tue Oct 19, 2021 1:12 pm Looks like TWN is expecting a ridgy November/December with a colder Jan/Feb.

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/ne ... nto-winter
I think the jet will remain relatively zonal thru early/mid Dec with lots of precip for the west coast, and then the pattern will transition to something like they show for Jan/Feb.
Screenshot_2021-10-19-14-58-27(1).png
I'd be surprised if there's any prolonged period of ridging coming anytime in the next few months.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 19, 2021 2:59 pm I think the jet will remain relatively zonal thru early/mid Dec with lots of precip for the west coast, and then the pattern will transition to something like they show for Jan/Feb.
Screenshot_2021-10-19-14-58-27(1).png
I'd be surprised if there's any prolonged period of ridging coming anytime in the next few months.
January 1954 or 1969. :snowman: :wish:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Oct 19, 2021 4:29 pm January 1954 or 1969. :snowman: :wish:
Highly unlikely in our current climate.

Check out Jan 1972/1980/1982/1996/2004 on the historical records. If we don't see anything major in December, I think an event or two similar to what we saw those years is realistic this January
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 19, 2021 5:30 pm Highly unlikely in our current climate.

Check out Jan 1972/1980/1982/1996/2004 on the historical records. If we don't see anything major in December, I think an event or two similar to what we saw those years is realistic this January
Out of all those years, 1982 and 1996 were the best for snow in Abbotsford. In 1982, 69 cm fell at YXX and in 1996, 67.3 cm was recorded. :thumbup:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Fraser Canyon colours.
P1100356_scaled.jpg
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P1100367_scaled.jpg
P1100368_scaled.jpg
P1100370_scaled.jpg
P1100371_scaled.jpg
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hound »

Hey Roberts Creeker, did you feel this earthquake?
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes ... /executive
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

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gem-all-nw-mslp_anom-5206400.png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by tyweather »

Fall colours in Revelstoke taken by my friend
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (18).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (19).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 19, 2021 9:50 am October troughing

November and December ridging :thumbup:
105.6 PG High? :shh: :shh: and :clap: :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

Pomoman wrote: ↑Tue Oct 19, 2021 11:42 am Yeah I’m in around Lake Country/Vernon and took a drive off the highways and man the fall colors are just unreal this year. Sunny skies, blue/green lakes, golden yellow hue to everything. One day I’ll move here…. If it doesnt all burn down first.
Yes, needless to say its the same in the Similkameens this year. Amazing colours. It appears that the S. Interior regions are gaining some traction lately 8-) 8-)
Yes PornoMan, i have already enjoyed the many amazing seasons with colours, cold and snow. I highly recommend the city folk to vacation locally this fall/winter. In the Similkameens? :think: :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Oct 19, 2021 7:23 pm Fraser Canyon colours.

P1100356_scaled.jpg
P1100359_scaled.jpg
P1100367_scaled.jpg
P1100368_scaled.jpg
P1100370_scaled.jpg
P1100371_scaled.jpg
And i know...the pics dont do it justice. You have to see the scenery in person to appreciate the brilliant colours (Canadian sp)
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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