January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 8:15 pm Agreed. Even the promising weekly runs don't look promising given their track record of defaulting to ENSO climo. Perhaps one more model tease before this winter ultimately ends up a dud. At least the past three have been solid. The arctic blast last January was a bonus given it was a strong El Niño. There were even dud winters in the 50's and 60's. That said, there is still a chance we get some arctic air here later this month or in February. But I feel the chances of that are pretty low at this point. But time will tell. Either way, hope everyone has a good new year. :thumbup: :wave:
Such a positive group on the AF Jr. Man l reactivated my account just to join the group therapy down there :lol: let's all jump off the cliff together.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 8:54 pm Such a positive group on the AF Jr. Man l reactivated my account just to join the group therapy down there :lol: let's all jump off the cliff together.
I enjoy both this forum and the AF's Sure, some on the AF's way overhype clown range runs but regardless, I love all weather communities. :D :wave:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Currently 0.5c and frosty in east Coquitlam.

Finally a night with clear skies and no fog in sight!
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Looks like the 00z GFS and GEM have trended a touch further offshore with the ridge, allowing a bit more cold air to dig west of the Rockies next Friday and Saturday.

Also a chance of some chilly showers mixed with flurries for higher elevations on Thursday as the cold trough brushes through from the NW.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:
Screenshot_20250112_213407_Chrome.jpg
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 9:35 pm :alert:

Screenshot_20250112_213407_Chrome.jpg
Possibly you may end up fogged in Tfog how many days so far?
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 9:06 pm I enjoy both this forum and the AF's Sure, some on the AF's way overhype clown range runs but regardless, I love all weather communities. :D :wave:
I'm worried if l throw some light humour Fred may ban me. :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 9:25 pm Looks like the 00z GFS and GEM have trended a touch further offshore with the ridge, allowing a bit more cold air to dig west of the Rockies next Friday and Saturday.

Also a chance of some chilly showers mixed with flurries for higher elevations on Thursday as the cold trough brushes through from the NW.
Unfortunately, the 00Z Euro tonight did not follow through GEM for next weekend. :thumbdown:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:19 pm Unfortunately, the 00Z Euro tonight did not follow through GEM for next weekend. :thumbdown:
Just need a few dry days so I can finally do some mowing. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GEM shows a significant cold wave for California and the rest of the American SW in the day 6-8 range.
gem_T2m_swus_27.png
gem_T2m_swus_31.png
gem_T2m_swus_35 (1).png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 9:41 pm Possibly you may end up fogged in Tfog how many days so far?
Too many to count. :lol:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:33 pm 00z GEM shows a significant cold wave for California and the rest of the American SW in the day 6-8 range.

gem_T2m_swus_27.png
gem_T2m_swus_31.png
gem_T2m_swus_35 (1).png
Weird :wtf: :shifty: pattern l don't believe it.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:34 pm Too many to count. :lol:
Use your toes to count as well Tbone. :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

:wtf: Fake cold by the weekend EL Neets favorite and throw in fake lurries mid week for the central valley.
Screenshot_20250113-053634.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Jan 13, 2025 5:40 am :wtf: Fake cold by the weekend EL Neets favorite and throw in fake lurries mid week for the central valley. Screenshot_20250113-053634.png
Forecast based on the 00z GEM.
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