November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

00z gfs looks like will be :flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

GFS looks like a step back. :x
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Guaranteed snow/cold it's 2 zip for the Knuckles over the Knights in the 1st should the Knucks win it will snow. :o :shifty:
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 7:29 pm Look at the wind colide over the LM.
Screenshot_20221126_192722.jpg
Full on deformation zone. Could see some very heavy precip rates just north of this.
Last edited by wetcoast91 on Sat Nov 26, 2022 8:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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PortKells
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 7:58 pm 00z gfs looks like will be :flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
Low too strong. Still a decent snow but not as good.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Getting into the #feetz by 7am Weds.
15D9CD1C-6971-407B-B1B7-2F2C5D18431D.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 7:58 pm GFS looks like a step back. :x
Treading closer....

Now looks like 50F rain for Puget Sound.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 7:58 pm GFS looks like a step back. :x
Doesn't look TOO bad, still weakens the low offshore then pushes it south instead of inland. A bit more marginal sure but RGEM trended the right way today, and so did ICON this evening. Consensus seems to be building that the low weakens and doesn't push inland.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 7:58 pm GFS looks like a step back. :x
Much snowier believe it or not
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Storm wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 8:01 pm Much snowier believe it or not
Yeah I just looked. I was totally off.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 8:01 pm Treading closer....

Now looks like 50F rain for Puget Sound.
Nito I mooted this earlier but it got buried. Want to hear your actual thoughts as a more educated person with atmospheric background, beside the memeing about the pineapples.
Last edited by VanCitySouth on Sat Nov 26, 2022 8:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 8:01 pm Yeah I just looked. I was totally off.
Screenshot_20221126_200253.jpg
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North Burnaby/Burquitlam
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Storm wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 7:29 pm Look at the wind colide over the LM.
Screenshot_20221126_192722.jpg
Would make sense if that’s the rgem. Wind is drawn to low center
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 8:03 pm Nito I mooted this earlier but it got buried. Want to hear your actual thoughts as a more educated person with atmospheric background, beside the memeing about the pineapples.
:dancepine: for PDX though.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 26, 2022 8:01 pm Treading closer....

Now looks like 50F rain for Puget Sound.
Good. More rain the better
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