September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (17).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (18).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (19).png

[Typeing3]

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[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

It's a end of summer mini me heat hump then dump the next 4 days, 25c Sunday 26c Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday in central valley. the shorts day's continue.

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[stuffradio]

Troughs

[Monty]

Cool this morning. 6.6C

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Cool this morning. 6.6C

And 18c in Agassiz with a brisk NE outflow this morning.
This just announced by the provincial government Sumas lake to be re named Queen Elizabeth lake in November.
Just announced by the federal government Heads or tails all Canadian coins to replace Queens head with Trudeau's same idea as PM's head on a plate once he's booted out of office.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Got up to 26c today @ the pond in south Sardis what a fantastic shorts and tee day in the central valley.
Well with things opening up again the late night comedy act featuring Skipper Grumps makes a rude return this winter get your tickets early even though we don't have any. here's a clip.
I went to a weather forum the other day and a storm broke out.

[Forrest Gump]

https://youtu.be/eaj8W6nPKUg

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Yeah l was beginning to wonder skipper l think we missed the invite to the Similkameens. Tman is home same with you and l guess were considered fossils to attend.
Oh well goodnight to have me some Ovaltine with a dab of Vitog. Tried a bit of late night fishy comedy didn't work.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (20).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (21).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (22).png

[Typeing3]

20220919091758-76a338b77ea64a4f2f0a8eb335e9c3a252171d89.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

20220919091758-76a338b77ea64a4f2f0a8eb335e9c3a252171d89.png

The torchy spells are now below 30ËšC, so at least there is that.

Went out looking for mushrooms near Stave Lake yesterday. Saw virtually none of any kind, even though the forest floor was not totally dry. Either it’s too early, or it’s going to be a dud season, or both. (And yes, I have found chanterelles in September before, many times.)

[Canada Goose]

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... jOpn4QktZQ

[Glacier]

^ Yup, YVR is dubious. The ECCC station is more accurate right now and significantly different from the Nav Canada station.

Yesterday was the first freeze of the year for Smithers, Merritt, Williams Lake, and Sparwood. Note that Williams Lake airport is about 1000ft above the lake, so likely warmer in the valley (though Merritt is the same elevation as the Williams Lake valley bottom so who knows... no, wait, my relatives there tell me that the low was 1.7 downtown).

SEPT18.png

[stuffradio]

GFS/GEFS and GEM/GEPS are showing signs of rain at 20-40mm between now and beginning of October.

gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-ens_box-3567200.png

gfs-deterministic-CYXX-tmp_qpf_snow-3588800.png

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