January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 3:53 pm Rug pull on the Canadian ensembles. :bang:


3670C699-4757-48C8-8A21-572C125E4A3D.png
This is still way out there JR. Don't get too invested in either solution just yet.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 2:34 pm Saw on TWN that Halifax tracking their lowest snowfall on record to date so far. How's it been in Charlottetown?
I see an article saying they have only had 1.4 cm of snow this season as of New Year’s Day. Unless they’ve gotten a lot since then, it would mean Vancouver is still ahead in the totals.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 3:02 pm Weeklies for #beginningofFEB

15-20.png
t.png
Yeah it definitely got pushed back today. February it is!
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PortKells
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 3:53 pm Rug pull on the Canadian ensembles. :bang:


3670C699-4757-48C8-8A21-572C125E4A3D.png
We still have the EPS and GFS. The GEM is always warm.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 3:02 pm Weeklies for #beginningofFEB

15-20.png
t.png
Long range GFS is right in line with that.

5362F3C3-C6FC-4FAA-8CE8-DDD20A819C9A.thumb.png.5284c9835b7f3e776baedc47fd523154.png
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 2:34 pm Saw on TWN that Halifax tracking their lowest snowfall on record to date so far. How's it been in Charlottetown?
None of your damn business.

But since you asked, they have something like 75 cm of snow so far. Certainly well below normal, but I doubt it's near record lows.
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 4:28 pm Yeah it definitely got pushed back today. February it is!
Doesn't surprise me. Models are often too quick with pattern changes. But we don't want to see it pushed back any further. :thumbup:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 7:11 pm Doesn't surprise me. Models are often too quick with pattern changes. But we don't want to see it pushed back any further. :thumbup:
Had a few head fakes in the lead up to the mid-late February 2018 event.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Sovwe getting a snow on Saturday? GFS seems to think so for some reason.
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

tyweather wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 9:40 pm Sovwe getting a snow on Saturday? GFS seems to think so for some reason.
Yay??? Yay because snow :clap: :clap: ? because really? :lol: :lol:
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (21).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (22).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (23).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20230117102008-89c2b97fe431488c71bf74330e9da020e61b147a.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 7:11 pm Doesn't surprise me. Models are often too quick with pattern changes. But we don't want to see it pushed back any further. :thumbup:
Check out the EPS. Hard to argue with this signal.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-5209600.png
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

tyweather wrote: ↑Mon Jan 16, 2023 9:40 pm Sovwe getting a snow on Saturday? GFS seems to think so for some reason.
I found the 7th day snow :roll: :lol:
7th day snow.jpg
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:wsnow: :13snow:

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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Honestly though, the weather is getting freaking depressing. All this drizzle every day. Can we have some damn sunshine if it's going to be this warm. Otherwise can we have our snow back? The local ski hills look like trash.
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