February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Storm]

RGEM has the snow well into Monday.

sn10_acc-imp.us_nw (4).png

[Typeing3]

O.k. Tbud it's all yours you can do the Arctic fart synopsis from here on out.

I'll check back again soon and post another update. I don't think things have changed too much in the 4 hours since I last posted an update.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I'll check back again soon and post another update. I don't think things have changed too much in the 4 hours since I last posted an update.

No l got that map from My Radar you probably can get a better update that map updates every 6 hours l think.

[Storm]

ICON with snow well into Monday.

sn10_acc-imp.us_nw (6).png

[Typeing3]

RGEM has the snow well into Monday.
sn10_acc-imp.us_nw (4).png

Looks like a general 5-20cm across Metro Vancouver, depending on location. 10cm for most of us seems realistic based on that run.

[Canada Goose]

12km is pretty much useless at this range. What does the 3km look like?

Edit: Never mind, I see you posted it above.

What's your prediction for us? At least 15 cm?

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I'll check back again soon and post another update. I don't think things have changed too much in the 4 hours since I last posted an update.

John posted early this morning the Arctic fluff had gone through Kamloops so that had me confused when l looked later and it hadn't but all good.

[PortKells]

Looks like a general 5-20cm across Metro Vancouver, depending on location. 10cm for most of us seems realistic based on that run.

That would be a solid outcome. Arctic front snows generally tend to drop 2-5 cm at most so you take that and run.

[HughCorne]

It’s the snow:water ratio. 10:1 is basically what it says it is. The Kuchera ratio takes into account the temperature, specifically the maximum temperature in the lowest 500 mbar of the air column. It accounts for how wet, gloppy snow has a lower ratio than cold, dry, powder snow.

Exact formula here: https://weathermadness.com/2019/01/18/k ... king-best/

Many thanks, Rubus!!

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

That would be a solid outcome. Arctic front snows generally tend to drop 2-5 cm at most so you take that and run.

Anything we can score is a win. We’ve been spoiled by all the 20+ cm snowfalls in recent winters.

[PortKells]

12km is pretty much useless at this range. What does the 3km look like?

Edit: Never mind, I see you posted it above.

Yeah...so is that really all terrain bleed painting us in purple? It doesn't really have that terrain bleed look where it follows the mountain path. But then the 3k is just way different.

I still think the Nam is off and the Hrrr started to show that. It's still game on for a big snow here.

[HughCorne]

Almost time to drop the models, we’re getting into NOWCAST territory

[Michael1]

No Weatherpro tonight?

[Flakey]

Anything we can score is a win. We’ve been spoiled by all the 20+ cm snowfalls in recent winters.

As I said earlier a non epic event followed by cold would still be a win. Seems like most traditional outlets are still showing 10+ cm with snowfall lasting maybe a little longer.

[Bonovox]

Yeah...so is that really all terrain bleed painting us in purple? It doesn't really have that terrain bleed look where it follows the mountain path. But then the 3k is just way different.

I still think the Nam is off and the Hrrr started to show that. It's still game on for a big snow here.

Not just terrain bleed. At 12km resolution it has difficulty in picking up the nuances of our local topography and micro climates. For context the Euro is run at 9km resolution and the physics are of course far superior to the NAM.

And on your last point, I agree.