February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS
Day 6 to 10
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh144-240.gif


850mb temps
gfs_T850_nwus_fh144-240.gif


Surface temps
gfs_T2m_nwus_fh144-240.gif
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:typing: :type3:
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Feb 14, 2023 8:34 pm Well, that was a pretty snowy 00Z GFS.

Note: I didn't look at any mesoscale details to see how likely/unlikely this is. Just pretty to look at.
Snow maps are always pretty, even thought they're usually pretty unreliable :hearteyes: post away!
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GEM
Day 6 to 10
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh144-240.gif


850mb temps
gem_T850_nwus_fh144-240.gif


Surface temps
gem_T2m_nwus_fh144-240.gif
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:typing: :type3:
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Feb 14, 2023 9:58 pm Unlikely a rapidly deepening low takes this track.
:lol: :cryhard: Do l laugh cry or toss it
T1951.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

50cm of snow:lol:
F46EFB91-82B2-463E-A568-E62FEDACD5E4.png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

History on the making.
Screenshot_20230214_223356_Samsung Internet.jpg
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Storm wrote: Tue Feb 14, 2023 10:35 pm History on the making.
Screenshot_20230214_223356_Samsung Internet.jpg
Get the anti depressions ready. :wtf: :crazy: :roll: Jr. man's 1951 redux. :thumbup:
Now watch this is the extreme snow/cold watch it begin to get pulled back.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Feb 14, 2023 10:38 pm Get the anti depressions ready. :wtf: :crazy: :roll: Jr. man's 1951 redux. :thumbup:
Now watch this is the extreme snow/cold watch it begin to get pulled back.
Can you imagine it “pull back” to 20-30cm? That would be amazing!
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

500h_anom.na (2).png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 14, 2023 10:49 pm 500h_anom.na (2).png
Geesh it continues to look promising just to good to be true still hesitant just the years of being ripped off.
:o
90595FD6-B950-46F6-A998-9B4889BD2713.thumb.png.1ac11098884ba876a99f37042a54d77c.png
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Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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tyweather
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

The GFS keeps trying to give us snow this Thursday. Thoughts? Last time it did this we had a surprise snow Jan 31. Also can I get my 94 cm of snow in Surrey?
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

All ensemble members of both GFS and ECMWF showing lowland snow next week.
gfs-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-6419200.png
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-6376000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

tyweather wrote: Tue Feb 14, 2023 11:04 pm The GFS keeps trying to give us snow this Thursday. Thoughts? Last time it did this we had a surprise snow Jan 31. Also can I get my 94 cm of snow in Surrey?
Even more ECMWF ensemble members show light snow later this week than do GFS ones. But it looks like it may be a Pornoman special. Literally just 1ËšC too warm for wet snow down to sea level or close to it.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-6635200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-6635200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-6635200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

GFS says snow might happen this week. But it’s the GFS.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-6602800.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-6602800.png[/attachment ][attachment=3]gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-6602800.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-refc_ptype-6613600.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

tyweather wrote: Tue Feb 14, 2023 11:04 pm The GFS keeps trying to give us snow this Thursday. Thoughts? Last time it did this we had a surprise snow Jan 31. Also can I get my 94 cm of snow in Surrey?
Wasn’t a complete surprise last time. Started showing up in both the ECMWF and GFS a couple days out. Temperatures seem more marginal this time.
Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Tue Feb 14, 2023 11:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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