February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:27 pm I always like to compare the 00z to the 12z. And the 00z Euro is definitely better.

This is total snow ending at 0400pm Sunday.

00z vs 12z
Here is the Kuchera for the same time period.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:27 pm I always like to compare the 00z to the 12z. And the 00z Euro is definitely better.

This is total snow ending at 0400pm Sunday.

00z vs 12z
Here is total snow ending 0400pm Monday. Again, another improvement.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Bonovox
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:30 pm Here is total snow ending 0400pm Monday. Again, another improvement.
Kuchera map for the same time period.

00z vs 12z
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

I predict 20cm for White Rock and a trace for for South Sardis,but Sardineman will eye ball it and report 15cm on his score card.
7th Annual Over the Hill Grumpy Old Men Winter Classic
Wrinkle Rock Fish Pulverizers 15cm
South Sardis Stinkin Sardines 3.5cm
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:30 pm Here is total snow ending 0400pm Monday. Again, another improvement.
IIRC, Tyler Hamilton said there is a lot of convection going on in the pacific right now. Models are struggling with this so the forecast will change. Confidence high for a snowstorm on the Island but moderate confidence for snow on the Lower Mainland.

Time will tell but its not a done deal that we don't see 10+cm across the Lower Mainland Saturday. But if not, looks like more snow chances on the way. Most if not all models keep the PNA negative through the rest of February. Lots of potential for cold onshore flow, which probably has a higher chance of producing snow here then these dry continental arctic blasts, in this case, arctic trickle. :thumbup:

For what its worth, I managed to spot this map. :think: :hmm: :dunno:
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-4448800.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

:blah: :13fire: :wish: :evilpine: :evilpine: :evilpine:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Forrest Gump wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:23 pm 633024668.0.jpg
sexy
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:46 pm IIRC, Tyler Hamilton said there is a lot of convection going on in the pacific right now. Models are struggling with this so the forecast will change. Confidence high for a snowstorm on the Island but moderate confidence for snow on the Lower Mainland.

Time will tell but its not a done deal that we don't see 10+cm across the Lower Mainland Saturday. But if not, looks like more snow chances on the way. Most if not all models keep the PNA negative through the rest of February. Lots of potential for cold onshore flow, which probably has a higher chance of producing snow here then these dry continental arctic blasts, in this case, arctic trickle. :thumbup:

For what its worth, I managed to spot this map. :think: :hmm: :dunno:

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-4448800.png
it's tyler hamilton tho lol
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:46 pm IIRC, Tyler Hamilton said there is a lot of convection going on in the pacific right now. Models are struggling with this so the forecast will change. Confidence high for a snowstorm on the Island but moderate confidence for snow on the Lower Mainland.

Time will tell but its not a done deal that we don't see 10+cm across the Lower Mainland Saturday. But if not, looks like more snow chances on the way. Most if not all models keep the PNA negative through the rest of February. Lots of potential for cold onshore flow, which probably has a higher chance of producing snow here then these dry continental arctic blasts, in this case, arctic trickle. :thumbup:

For what its worth, I managed to spot this map. :think: :hmm: :dunno:

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-4448800.png
We all ready did the cold on shore flow a couple weeks ago we all know how that turned out. :thumbdown:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Weather101 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:54 pm it's tyler hamilton tho lol
Play nice.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:31 pm Kuchera!!!
Bless you need a hanky.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Storm wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:58 pmPlay nice.
okay okay
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Weather101 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:01 pmokay okay
Light er up Jack! :w101:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

El Nito's method of snow removal.
youve-had-enough-of-the-snow-above-a-pic-of-someone-using-a-flamethrower-to-get-rid-of-the-snow.jpeg
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Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Hound
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