February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Hound wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:21 am I'm coming over with BIG marshmallows!

Image
I'll have to try that, I've never roasted marshmallows in mine but I've cooked in it, pushed the coals to one side and put a small tray in the other. Salmon and pork chops are fantastic with the smoke flavour. Just heading out to stock up on cat food and marshmallows now. :lol: :lol: EC is calling for light snow but...

Nice stove Monty. I have a Quadra Fire but looked at the Regency's also.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Hound
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Just took a look around Oregon on webcams and they haven't got much snow out of the last day it's been falling. Many places looked wet as in possible rain. I wonder if they are bummed out about that on the AF.

As for us, I was just thinking about how previous years snow failed because the lows ended up trending too far north, yet was not forecast that way. What if this happens again? Except this time we would be in the perfect spot. I mean it's possible.. If it busts that way for us many times in the past, this may turn out to be a score! :shrug:
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Granddaddyp2233
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Granddaddyp2233 »

What time is precipitation supposed to arrive?
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:typing: :type3:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Granddaddyp2233 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:53 am What time is precipitation supposed to arrive?
Sometime tomorrow morning (anywhere from the wee hours to after daybreak). It’s coming in from the south, so the further south you are, the earlier you will see it.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:26 am Maybe Jr will finally get that March 1951 repeat he's wanted. :thumbup:
This was the 500mb pattern on March 5th 1951. I highly doubt we see a repeat unfortunately.
march5th1951.gif
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

HRRR says screw you guys, I'm on #teamNITO
hrrr.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Precip starts around midnight/1am.

Might take a while for it to fall though ---> DRY.
1.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:04 pm HRRR says screw you guys, I'm on #teamNITO

hrrr.png
Concerning, since that’s generally a very accurate short-range model.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:07 pm Concerning, since that’s generally a very accurate short-range model.
Not too late for a second, actual, last minute rug pull
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:07 pm Concerning, since that’s generally a very accurate short-range model.
Seems out of line with almost everything. Its times like this I feel bad for professional forecasters in this region. Try explaining to the public that we are getting between 0 and 25cm only a day out.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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PortKells
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:11 pm Not too late for a second, actual, last minute rug pull
Eh, this rug was already 6 hours old. We needed a new one anyways.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by NoahG »

anyone have the weatherbell/weather models.com nam3k map?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:07 pm Concerning, since that’s generally a very accurate short-range model.
HRRR isn't exactly a Benchmark model outside 6 hours.
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