December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[Bonovox]

Don't use 10:1 ratio maps - use Kuchera. During borderline cases, the snow ratio will be much less, so 10:1 maps show misleadingly high totals.

It's almost better to use the snow depth maps because those factor in the rain mixing in that will also eat away at totals.

Haha dude. We know this. We’ve been posting and using maps for years. We post maps for entertainment because this is a weather forum after all.

[Weather101]

Hey nito.... it's plus 11c in toronto.

[wetcoast91]

Hey nito.... it's plus 11c in toronto.

They took away the +18C for Calgary.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Currently 2.7ËšC after a low of 1.3. Not planning to post any more maps this morning: we are now squarely in wait and see territory.

[Bonovox]

12z HRDPS.

[Bonovox]

Latest HRRR. This won’t happen, but still.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Enough of model maps, that is. Radar shows moisture is about to hit. Looks to be light to start. Heavier stuff will take a while. Probably why the models don’t show the snow levels getting super-low until noonish.

Screenshot 2023-12-09 at 08.38.00.png

[Bonovox]

Lates NBM is probably the most realistic for today. Even all of this will be gone by the late evening.

[wetcoast91]

Lates NBM is probably the most realistic for today. Even all of this will be gone by the late evening.

A wet sloppy slushing of the grass seems likely.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

A wet sloppy slushing of the grass seems likely.

I’ve been one of the more bullish on snow going into this thing, and even I think that’s the most likely outcome, unless you live on Burnaby Mountain or the Westwood Plateau.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Drizzle.

[Bonovox]

A wet sloppy slushing of the grass seems likely.

I think places above 100-200m will get a quick 2-5cm this afternoon before it transitions back to rain.

[Storm]

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... eAX9Q&s=19

[Nordelian]

Haha dude. We know this. We’ve been posting and using maps for years. We post maps for entertainment because this is a weather forum after all.

Not sure I agree. I've seen lots of people post stuff like "models said I would get 10 cm...only 2 cm on the ground... Bust!" When in fact, it was just them misinterpreting the model output...

[Pomoman]

Well it begins. Light snow falling up on my elevated dirt mound. Looking across the inlet seems it is snowing almost right to sea level.