October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Monty]

When do you think we get an early cold blast? I don’t see any evidence of that in the models?

Totally just a gut feeling. 2nd or 3rd week of November

[wetcoast91]

Totally just a gut feeling. 2nd or 3rd week of November

Very very cold out east and inversion hell over the west the next 2 weeks. All this ground moisture + stagnent air = fog.

[Glacier]

Statements

4:20 AM PDT Thursday 24 October 2019
Special weather statement in effect for:

• Central Okanagan - including Kelowna
  North Okanagan - including Vernon
  South Okanagan - including Penticton
  
  Chilcotin
  
  Cariboo - north including Quesnel
  Cariboo - south including Williams Lake
  
  100 Mile
  
  North Thompson
  
  Shuswap
  
  South Thompson
  
  Nicola
  
  Fraser Canyon - north including Lillooet
  Fraser Canyon - south including Lytton

Be prepared for strong winds tonight and Friday.

A developing Pacific low pressure system is forecast to cross the central interior overnight. The associated cold front will then sweep across the southern interior on Friday reaching Washington State in the evening.

Strong southerly winds will develop ahead of the low tonight and then shift to west or northwest on Friday. Wind gusts up to 70 km/h are expected except gusts to 80 km/h or more are possible for Chilcotin, Cariboo - south including Williams Lake, 100 Mile and Fraser Canyon.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.

Statements

10:56 AM PDT Thursday 24 October 2019
Special weather statement in effect for:

• Southern Gulf Islands
  
  Fraser Valley - central including Chilliwack
  Fraser Valley - east including Hope
  Fraser Valley - west including Abbotsford
  
  Metro Vancouver - central including the City of Vancouver Burnaby and New Westminster
  Metro Vancouver - North Shore including West Vancouver and North Vancouver
  Metro Vancouver - northeast including Coquitlam and Maple Ridge
  Metro Vancouver - southeast including Surrey and Langley
  Metro Vancouver - southwest including Richmond and Delta

Strong northwesterly winds are expected on Friday.

A cold front over the North Coast will move southwards tonight and cross the Inner South Coast early Friday morning. Southerly winds of 30 to 60 km/h ahead of the cold front will shift to west to northwest 40 to 60 km/h behind the system with some gusts reaching 80 km/h over western sections of Metro Vancouver near the Strait of Georgia.

Winds are expected to ease early Friday evening.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.

[Monty]

Very very cold out east and inversion hell over the west the next 2 weeks. All this ground moisture + stagnent air = fog.

We’ll see. Seems a bit early to get locked into a foggy inversion.

[AbbyJr]

We’ll see. Seems a bit early to get locked into a foggy inversion.

Maybe but we'll probably see 20C+ temperatures in January.

[Typeing3]

We’ll see. Seems a bit early to get locked into a foggy inversion.

I wouldn't rule it out though. Remember mid October 2013? Was foggy for at least a week.

[Hawk]

Very very cold out east and inversion hell over the west the next 2 weeks. All this ground moisture + stagnent air = fog.

Nito likes to play the antagonist role

[Catnip]

Ensembles are all over the place. Yesterday around Halloween some were showing +10, today +5. A few days ago it was -5

MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens.png

[Hawk]

The models were doing great last few weeks...but they are struggling now butties

[VanCitySouth]

Any word on how windy it will be tomorrow? EC says gusts to 80 in the western bit of the city. Too high?

[Typeing3]

Long range 18z shows our first modified arctic blast of the season.

[Catnip]

Long range 18z shows our first modified arctic blast of the season.

Hey it’s moving up in timing!

[tyweather]

Clown Range Alert***

[Catnip]

#inMontywetrust

#retrogression

[Hawk]

Forecast is for strong NW winds tom..I bet we mostly get W winds as has happened many times in past in these forecasts.