February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z ECMWF
Day 5 to 9
850mb temps
ecmwf_T850_nwus_fh120-240.gif


Surface temps
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_fh120-240.gif
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:typing: :type3:
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
Day 5 to 11

500mb height anomalies
gfs-ens_z500a_namer_fh120-264.gif


850mb temp anomalies
gfs-ens_T850a_namer_fh120-264.gif


Surface temp anomalies
gfs-ens_T2ma_namer_fh120-264.gif
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:typing: :type3:
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Glacier
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Wed Feb 15, 2023 5:10 pm Maybe Graham should move to Seattle
Send him to Anchorage. My in-laws near Anchorage, Alaska need some help shovelling the snow off the room. The library roof in Palmer collapsed today.

Here is my in-laws place....
FB_IMG_1676542679755.jpg
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Glacier wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 2:21 am Send him to Anchorage. My in-laws near Anchorage, Alaska need some help shovelling the snow off the room. The library roof in Palmer collapsed today.

Here is my in-laws place....
Ah man Glace that's insane, sorry to hear that l know Anchorage has been absolutely buried this winter.
They just had another dump this past weekend and are running out of places to dump the snow.
I heard the Shizmilkameenzz could use some snow. :wtf: l think Graham took the last balloon 🎈 out of here.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Hawk
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Feb 15, 2023 8:34 pm It will be hard to hit March 1951 levels as 115.1cm fell in Abbotsford
More like will likely never happen again. Especially in Donutsford :lol:

However, i recall many late season snowfalls in mid to late Feb that produced massive snowfalls. A lot of 0c snows that produced heavy snows region wide for the most part. If we can thread the needle again.. :think: :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

06z GFS says "lots of sloppy snows for you"! :flakey: :raindrip: :flakey: :raindrip: :roll:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hawk wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 6:44 am 06z GFS says "lots of sloppy snows for you"! :flakey: :raindrip: :flakey: :raindrip: :roll:
Dry blast then lingering chill with sloppy snowfalls.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 7:43 am Dry blast then lingering chill with sloppy snowfalls.
Yup it's over. Time to add the winter clothes to the burn pile.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

GFS has a little snow on Tuesday.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-7002400.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-7002400.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-7002400.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-refc_ptype-7002400.png
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Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Thu Feb 16, 2023 8:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Total GFS snow as the front comes in (some of what is shown in Seattle is phantom snow).
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7024000.png
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Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Thu Feb 16, 2023 8:08 am, edited 2 times in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 7:52 am Yup it's over. Time to add the winter clothes to the burn pile.
At this point I have to believe you are intentionally jinxing yourself.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 8:06 am Total GFS snow as the front comes in (some of what is shown in Seattle is phantom snow). Not much, but as it will be accompanied by plummeting temperatures even a dusting like that can coat the roads and cause commuting chaos.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7024000.png
Unfortunately the trajectory of the toughing might not favour us as much as it did in December. But 2-5 cm is totally doable.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 8:08 am Unfortunately the trajectory of the toughing might not favour us as much as it did in December. But 2-5 cm is totally doable.
Also, I was wrong: that is not the arctic front. It is a little system that comes in with chilly but not cold air ahead of the main front. By the time the front comes, it’s thoroughly dry.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 8:21 am Also, I was wrong: that is not the arctic front. It is a little system that comes in with chilly but not cold air ahead of the main front. By the time the front comes, it’s thoroughly dry.
Always so pessimistic :)
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

There is snow as the arctic front comes in on the GFS, but not this far north.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7110400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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