January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:24 pm Always important to have a good :lol: or :lol: :lol: after a SnowFAIL.

Can’t let it get to you.

:thumbup:

:wave:
Yup. :lol:

However, even though it was marginal at best, but because of how abysmal this winter has been, it stung.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:26 pm Yup. :lol:

However, even though it was marginal at best, but because of how abysmal this winter has been, it stung.
Yup.
90460908-1DD7-49CC-A7FA-4564F5E8C54D.gif
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Even Sardine’s posts are mostly serious today.

Maybe he’s taking the latest snowFAIL hard.

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:26 pm Yup. :lol:

However, even though it was marginal at best, but because of how abysmal this winter has been, it stung.
I was ticked off but the writing was on the wall when all the mesoscale models abandoned ship on Saturday night.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:33 pm Even Sardine’s posts are mostly serious today.

Maybe he’s taking the latest snowFAIL hard.

:think:
Needs a couple of egg grogs.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:35 pm Needs a couple of egg grogs.
Yup.
1B10CE38-4B40-4FBF-9EE5-C4D7D29DCF98.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

WeatherPro wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 4:43 pm Hi everyone.

I must apologize for my epic failure in forecasting the last event. I know I had many of you excited for what should have been a great widespread snowfall. So many things went wrong but I think you all know. The temp was just 2c higher than it should have been. The low was a bit too far west and south. Precipitation rates were light. Etc. Everything was so close yet so far away, again.

I'm disappointed in how poorly the models perform in general for the lower mainland. This makes things even more difficult. Poor radar coverage and numerous other things contribute to the overall failure of almost all of the forecasts. The government needs to fund EC better because this is a serious situation. There was better information available prior to the 1990's and that is sad considering the information age we now live in.

Also, thank you to all my supporters, or the people with the kind words to say about me. I am not perfect. Someone had sent a rude message via the private message system on this forum. I won't say who it was. I deleted it.

As of now I will not make any detailed forecasts unless it's an absolute guarantee it will happen. The lower mainland is just too difficult to forecast and since I don't live there I can't keep track of everything that is happening in real time. I also don't have enough time. It was different when I lived there.

As for now, this week looks rather 50/50 of anything good happening. The atmosphere is unstable so short bursts of flurries or hail may pass through at times. Mid week looks a bit better in terms of light flurries being a little more widespread. As we approach the weekend, THAT becomes the big question. We have a strong system moving in with cold air around which COULD lead to a major widespread snowfall event. Watch for that. That is the next exciting thing weather-wise to look out for. I think you guys have many more chances through Feb, it's looking pretty chilly.

I'll drop by later in the week if things look promising.
Meh. I’ve busted many a forecast. I think I’ve busted my January forecast for 30 years in a row. One of these times we will get a cold one and I’ll look like a genius. One thing about forecasting snow out here is that it’s never a sure thing. You gotta have a little leeway in your forecast.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:37 pm Yup.
He’s been busy too.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:33 pm Even Sardine’s posts are mostly serious today.

Maybe he’s taking the latest snowFAIL hard.

:think:
Yes, he's a special kind of snowFAIL!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:39 pm He’s been busy too.
:lol: :lol: :clap:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:37 pm Meh. I’ve busted many a forecast. I think I’ve busted my January forecast for 30 years in a row. One of these times we will get a cold one and I’ll look like a genius. One thing about forecasting snow out here is that it’s never a sure thing. You gotta have a little leeway in your forecast.
I’ll always forecast 0-15cm from now on.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Hound wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:20 pm :stupme: I thought we did but I don't see one. I'll add some. Were there any others? I thought someone asked for another type recently.
More snowflakes?...for good luck :D
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:19 pm Yup!

D6DBBA17-5BBB-4DBB-8DDB-CB2B5F1F0D03.gif
Oh this one made me laugh
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:33 pm Even Sardine’s posts are mostly serious today.

Maybe he’s taking the latest snowFAIL hard.

:think:
Not really, l had a feeling Saturday night just watching the radar and the moisture not advancing eastward much. Last night early this morning 2cm surprised me abit. I was hoping for my buddy Gumpaholics to make some ground on me.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Jan 25, 2021 9:35 pm Needs a couple of egg grogs.
:lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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