February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 10:56 am Think dry and cold followed by fake cold followed by cold rain!!!


CMON Catnip!!!
If we can't get snow then I'm all for DRY and cool/cold.

:thumbup:

BUT I'm still gonna :think: :chilly: and :snowwindow:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by BhamMe »

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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

gfs-operational-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-2440000.png
gfs-operational-CYXX-tmp_qpf_snow-2440000.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-2440000.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_tmp-2440000.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 11:38 am gfs-operational-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-2440000.png

gfs-operational-CYXX-tmp_qpf_snow-2440000.png

gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-2440000.png

gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_tmp-2440000.png
No idea what to believe. Now cast is really all we can do.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 10:37 am 12z GFS ensembles
omg lol. Disaster has struck #TeamSnow again just 24 hours after the last one :lol: :lol:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp_max_ecmwf-2440000.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 12:05 pm No idea what to believe. Now cast is really all we can do.
Yeah as much as I'd like to believe the GFS and GEFS, it usually is too extreme on the cold. While the EPS also does have some very cold members, its not nearly as extreme as what the GFS and GEFS are predicting.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Thu Feb 04, 2021 12:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Central Abbotsford
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:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

watered right down..rug pulled again!! :naughty: :naughty:

Tell em Nito!! :neener: :neener:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 12:35 pm Yeah as much as I'd like to believe the GFS GEFS, it usually is too extreme on the cold. While the EPS also does have some very cold members, its not nearly as extreme as what the GFS and GEFS are predicting.
At the current moment my guess is run of the mill, dry blast that doesn't last. But confidence is low in any one solution.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

:dunno:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Although the ensemble mean isn't all that great, the GEM op is clearly running on the warm side. Let's call it an outlier. ;)
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

https://twitter.com/SeattleWXGuy/status ... 3427301382
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

18z GFS time. :shock:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 1:41 pm 18z GFS time. :shock:
No changes through HR 6.

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 1:44 pm No changes through HR 6.

:think:
Must be a rug pull.

:hawk:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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