September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Roberts Creeker]

I had my first glass of Eggnog last night! Analog?

Already!?! I guess with Christmas in full bloom in the stores, why not? Maybe next year you'll see it in July for Christmas in July!

[wetcoast91]

This new climate sucks. Likely going from a summer pattern straight into a rainy one that 4CH not set to die.

[Typeing3]

This new climate sucks. Likely going from a summer pattern straight into a rainy one that 4CH not set to die.

Will be interesting if we follow the summer-fall 1896 script, where we went from drought (only 16.2mm of rain fell in that entire astronomical summer period), followed by constant rain in late October/early-mid November (~400mm from Oct 28th to Nov 15th), and then into the freezer by mid November. That mid-late November arctic blast was a beast, probably only exceeded on duration + extremity of cold combo in November on records by the 1985 event.

Steveston: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1896
New Westminster: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=3
Chilliwack: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1896
Agassiz: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=3

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

BC WX twitter today

Was Vlad having a go with Mike Tmonster? Mike knows his stuff l tend to lean towards Mike's analysis.
Reached a comfortable hight of 21c @ the pond in south Sardis today mix of sun and cloud this afternoon in the central valley.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

It's currently 15c @ the pond in south Sardis feels mild out still for this time in the morning on this final day of Sleeptember. I wore my me shorts again today this is day ?? for shorts day analog.?

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Remember your September stats Jr. pal should be interesting to see how desert 🏜 like the fraser valley has become.

[Catnip]

00z Euro precip for next 10 days.

1.png

[Catnip]

6z GFS Precip for the next 10 days.

2.png

[Bonovox]

00z Euro precip for next 10 days.

6z GFS Precip for the next 10 days.

Too dry. Throw them out!

[Bonovox]

Was Vlad having a go with Mike Tmonster? Mike knows his stuff l tend to lean towards Mike's analysis.
Reached a comfortable hight of 21c @ the pond in south Sardis today mix of sun and cloud this afternoon in the central valley.

Mike is a weather briefer for Alaska Airlines, he definitely knows his stuff.

[stuffradio]

GEFS paints a wetter picture than the GFS

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nw-total_precip_mm-5878400.png

[Forrest Gump]

It's afternoon and currently 14°

[Coquitlam79]

Mike is a weather briefer for Alaska Airlines, he definitely knows his stuff.

The fact is the models are flip flopping in the extended. No consensus at all. Could go either way after Thanksgiving. There have been years where it barely rained until Novemeber so Vlad could be right with his guess .1987 , 2002, 1986 I believe as well. In early Novemeber 2002 the Metro reservoirs were under 20% capacity.

[stuffradio]

It's afternoon and currently 14°

It’s 21 here in Langley

[Abby_wx]

21.5C here currently. Foggy start to the day, but now sunny.