February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Hound]

F this climate! What a sh*t-hole we live in.
Sorry, I'm just fed up.

[wetcoast91]

F this climate! What sh*t-hole we live in.
Sorry, I'm just fed up.

https://twitter.com/LaceySwope/status/1 ... 48387?s=19

Edit: Cheer up Hound. You and some fish and sharks in the Gulf of Mexico saw more snow than...

[AbbyJr]

Yuck. The models are really going wet and much milder in the mid range. Storm track aims north after Wednesday.

Alaska gets COLD. Next potential is 10-15 days away...cold Alaska is a good start.

I have my doubts that we see anymore meaningful cold or snow this winter. That said, I wouldn't complain about a February 2014, 2018, March 1951, or 2002 redux.

[Hawk]

I want sun but know the next 10 days are going to be a misrable wet cold hell.

A wet losing streak on the coast is always a big victory for the Similkameens!!!

[Hound]

Edit: Cheer up Hound. You and some fish and sharks in the Gulf of Mexico saw more snow than...

Ya, and how pathetic is that? What a joke. The pacific ocean is a douchebag with the nozzle aimed straight at us. F the pacific. The only thing historic about the west coast is all the rain we get and how from Oct to May it pisses rain and clouds in a depressing state non stop.

[Canada Goose]

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... 1527271430

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

F this climate! What a sh*t-hole we live in.
Sorry, I'm just fed up.

But hey, weenie mode worked superbly for many in Portland and western Washington so far this winter, so might as well give it a whirl!

[John]

Ya, and how pathetic is that? What a joke. The pacific ocean is a douchebag with the nozzle aimed straight at us. F the pacific. The only thing historic about the west coast is all the rain we get and how from Oct to May it pisses rain and clouds in a depressing state non stop.

Calm down man

[John]

F this climate! What a sh*t-hole we live in.
Sorry, I'm just fed up.

Move

[VanCitySouth]

Why is the snowfall warning still not lifted LOL

[Hound]

-7 mid day in Houstin Texas near the coast of one of the warmest bodies of water. Unfricken real. And we can't even pull off a day with a high of -3 Disgusting.

Right now half of the country of Mexico is colder than here and colder than it was last week. What a joke.

[Hound]

Move

If I wasn't stuck here for various reasons, trust me I would.

[Monty]

I would disagree. The Euro and GFS did all converge on my area getting 15–20 cm. That was a bit on the low side, but: a) what I got was completely within the range of the high outliers, and b) model consensus was a hell of a lot better than the official forecasts which did not call for so much as 10 cm. This is the second time this winter that this has happened: back on the solstice, the official forecasts did not call for snow at all, when model consensus was that I should get about 5 cm (ended up with 6).

And I would use the maps for more than just snowfall forecasting.

Euro snow maps are generally pretty good for my area. You can generally disregard the kuchera ratios in my experience. 10:1 ends up closer but lower your expectations if you know temps are marginal

[VanCitySouth]

-7 mid day in Houstin Texas near the coast of one of the warmest bodies of water. Unfricken real. And we can't even pull off a day with a high of -3 Disgusting.

Right now half of the country of Mexico is colder than here and colder than it was last week. What a joke.

The sting was worse in the 2014-16 period when we kept hearing about Saharan snows and Saudi cold snaps, and we mustered up measly 3 cm at CYVR over two winters.

[wetcoast91]

-7 mid day in Houstin Texas near the coast of one of the warmest bodies of water. Unfricken real. And we can't even pull of a day with a high of -3 Disgusting.

Right now half of the country of Mexico is colder than here and colder than it was last week. What a joke.

Arctic air is more efficiently moved over land than a large body of warm water. SW BC has to contend with the warm Pacific, access to warmer air from then W and S, mutiple mountain ranges shielding the region from arctic air. Climate change and UHI effect has also warmed up parts of the area. Even a fraction of a degree can make a difference.

Your area does not tend to fair well in these events. Very dry modified arctic airmasses with weak overrunning tends to take forever to saturate the airmass but also moderates temperatures in the process. Deep arctic airmasses or maritime polar airmasses tend to be more favorable for snowfalls out that way.