January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Radar
Weather Fanatic
Weather Fanatic
Posts: 891
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 7:23 pm
Location: West Abbotsford
Elevation: 290ft
Has thanked: 39 times
Been thanked: 1667 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Some of you might need this.
download.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
24/25 snow total: 29cm
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22655
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60000 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 7:57 pm Is that the 2nd or 3rd period map that you're looking at?
:lol: l had the wrong score. 3-1 now. :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22655
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60000 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

00Z Goofart not good 😐 thanks for your winter condolences. :cry:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 8:22 pm 00Z Goofart not good 😐 thanks for your winter condolences. :cry:
I'll take any westward trend i can get right now. And it did trend west just not quite there.
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17151 times
Been thanked: 8327 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Monty wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 6:26 pm It usually comes across that you are torturing yourself by following the models.
I dont really follow the models tbh..too much time wasted imo. I feel bad for the model riders in here when they provide a snowy hope, and then it all gets washed away. Plus lets face it, Nito has been winning all winter :shh:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2957
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 4534 times
Been thanked: 4973 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Gem the right track as well
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

00z Icon

Some similarities to the 12Z Euro.
1.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17151 times
Been thanked: 8327 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 8:53 pm 00z Icon

Some similarities to the 12Z Euro.

1.png
Isnt the ridge too far west tho? Plus another Low in the Aleutians gonna bust the Ridge again? At least it will be dry? :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 8:55 pm Isnt the ridge too far west tho? Plus another Low in the Aleutians gonna bust the Ridge again? At least it will be dry? :thumbup:
It is starting to merge with that other ridge to the NW.

The ICON only runs out to HR180.

:shrug: who knows. So much variability in the models.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22655
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60000 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 8:56 pm It is starting to merge with that other ridge to the NW.

The ICON only runs out to HR180.

:shrug: who knows. So much variability in the models.
l wish all the models only went as far as 240 hours it would stop all this zaniness. :crazy: we should make it a rule no model posting past 240 hours. For the health of our senior members. Grumps, John and errrrr oh myself. Oh and Hawk isn't he bald and 80.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22655
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60000 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Maybe Nimbus can answer this? when you worked at E.C. was there a rule for looking at models past a certain hour?
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hawk wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 8:55 pm Isnt the ridge too far west tho? Plus another Low in the Aleutians gonna bust the Ridge again? At least it will be dry? :thumbup:
The ridge needs to be a little farther west for it to get really cold.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17151 times
Been thanked: 8327 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Monty wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 9:22 pm The ridge needs to be a little farther west for it to get really cold.
Oops I meant to say the ridge is a little too far east and sometimes I don't know left from right either
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6605
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 12857 times
Been thanked: 12303 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

00Z GFS ensembles really backs off on the cold.

Decent GOA block but no PNW troughing. I'm interested to see if the EPS tonight remains consistent or caves. :hmm: :dunno:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Post Reply