February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 2:52 pm So, what do we know after the 18z? I think the short term is a lock. It will get colder. How much so? Who knows. It looks dry for now, but those details will sort themselves out. After that? The Euro sends a piece of the trough into Alaska, 12z GFS digs it SW and the 18z into the Gulf of Alaska. Those details will have huge implications on how long it stays cold for. Model riding continues....

:dunno:
Knock on wood!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 2:34 pm A first look at the ensembles.

6E103C80-2DAF-49FC-98C6-70653F0493C8.jpeg
I’ll take p11 please.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 9201996800
https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 5876409346
:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

EPSGrams ensemble mean showing a low of -5C for YVR next week.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SCORES!!! :D :clap:
Screen Shot 2021-02-04 at 3.10.14 PM.png
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

This is a good comparison. Need the trough to dig more to the SW to see that arctic front passage through the south coast and ensuing rapid temp drop. As it stands though, the 18z is still a very good run for next week.
https://twitter.com/SeattleWXGuy/status ... 4500123648
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Think Dry damnit.

Why do you want an ice storm?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 3:13 pm Think Dry damnit.

Why do you want an ice storm?
To piss you out.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 3:13 pm Think Dry damnit.

Why do you want an ice storm?
Think chapped lips and blowing dust! C'MON!
gfs_Td2m_nwus_24.png
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 3:10 pm SCORES!!! :D :clap:

Screen Shot 2021-02-04 at 3.10.14 PM.png
The games not on yet. :D
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 3:13 pm Think Dry damnit.

Why do you want an ice storm?
I will take snow at the start and a cold dry week. I want to skate on the Fen!
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 2:34 pm A first look at the ensembles.

6E103C80-2DAF-49FC-98C6-70653F0493C8.jpeg
:shock: wow! :lol: :crazy: :clap:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

tyweather wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 3:28 pm I will take snow at the start and a cold dry week. I want to skate on the Fen!
Yep. Haven't skated on our pond for almost two years exactly.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 04, 2021 2:55 pm Knock on wood!
I checked the data closely and it looks like today's 18z is about 2C milder than yesterday's. Not exactly what you want to see, but not enough difference to be meaningful. Tonight's 00z GFS and Euro will be telling, especially when we compare it to last night's.

At this point I'm on board with a modified arctic outbreak, at a minimum. Could be a legit arctic outbreak, but better to be cautiously optimistic given the model performance of late.
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Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Still some room for things to trend colder (or warmer).
E170ED22-23E4-4656-9CD3-71E1B0405AB7.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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