January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

Strange I remember early Feb 2019 being more intense than it was. I wouldve bet it ended up on this list.

I'll have a look at it again, but I think 850s only peaked at around -12c or even higher in Feb 2019.

I think what might've been memorable was the decently sharp arctic front that dropped temps during the day.

[Catnip]

Heavy precip incoming.

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[Monty]

Last I looked, Tuesday night through Thursday morning was the really interesting period. Tuesday morning looked melty to me, so not a surprise.

[Hawk]

They were decent I guess. By 21st century standards, Nov 2010, Feb 2011 and Feb 2018 were close to top tier arctic blasts based on 850mb temps.

Thanks i meant the depth of the arctic was likely not as good as if it was mid Dec to end of Jan, when we have the most cold power source!

[Monty]

Heavy precip incoming.

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It poured here the last 1/2hr. +5C. Temp is dropping pretty good now though

[PortKells]

The 18Z euro snowfall map shows widespread snow, but it is definitely going to be messy.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1470400.png

[Storm]

Heavy snow showers in West Vancouver

[Typeing3]

The 18Z euro snowfall map shows widespread snow, but it is definitely going to be messy.


ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1470400.png

What does the timing look like? If most of that is modeled to fall while temps are above 1-2c, then it's probably still got resolution issues.

[Hawk]

Something Frozen is falling on Burnaby Mountain

There were some ice pellets/graupel mix with rain falling today near Burquitlam/Como Lake (the old hood) around noonish. Looks quite unstable for sure. I wonder if the mixed bag will hammmmer us eventually?

On a side note, quite disappointing to see that entire front fizzle out lol. WPro had a potential epic snowstorm, Nito said AR event with 7c rains. We got isolated area of wet snow ~5cms, and a few showers elsewhere. Total bust. All within 48 hours.

[HughCorne]

The 18Z euro snowfall map shows widespread snow, but it is definitely going to be messy.


ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1470400.png

Abbotsford in the score zone

[Hawk]

Abbotsford in the score zone

Nice score...again?

[Hawk]

We are ground 0 for this vortmax incoming. Lets see what happens with this one.

[Coquitlam79]

Rain is coming down now. Some heavy downpours along the front. It looks nasty to the south (SW Washington) maybe some thunderstorms with the trailing shear line there. I wouldn't be surprised to see localized flooding there.

[Hound]

Temp: +4.7
DP +1
Light winds with gusts.
Feels warm out.

*Had to replace both batteries on both sensors today and it caused a huge temp spike, lol.

[Monty]

Temp down to 3c. Rain is splat positive