December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-8846000.png
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Pomoman
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

:thumbup: :think:
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Burnaby Mountain @ 365 m..

Stats? Fresh out of those. But I win anyway. I got all the inches.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z HRDPS picking up snow on the higher hills, but does show some at sea level.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Fri Dec 03, 2021 6:09 am GFS continues to look snowy as well.

As for the skeptics, I will simply point out that if, by this evening, the GFS and ECMWF models continue to agree on a snowy outlook, it is very likely to come true. It is an established pattern that when those two models agree on something, it tends to happen. Waving it off just because one’s gut says it’s not the right conditions for snow is wishcasting in reverse.
There's always time for a rug pull. :smirky:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Dec 03, 2021 6:37 am D69BE7F8-68CC-4091-85C5-EAD865D166F0.jpeg
The 12Z 3km NAM has snow for everyone, but the precip moves through very quick.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z HRRR has a solid 5cm across the region by Sunday morning.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

FWIW, the 12Z GFS has 925mb temperatures around -2c to -3c across the area on Saturday morning. Certainly supports snow.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z Euro a step back for Saturday morning.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Fri Dec 03, 2021 9:59 am 12Z Euro a step back for Saturday morning.

Winter is already being cancelled down south :roll: :roll:
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Fri Dec 03, 2021 9:59 am 12Z Euro a step back for Saturday morning.
I would take any snow just to see it.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Euro:

Tomorrow morning looks like slush below 300m with a trace possible.

Monday now looks like 2-4cm at best with a stronger onshore surface flow due south.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monday.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Fri Dec 03, 2021 10:20 amMonday.
South Delta getting the shaft on this run..can’t say im surprised. This is why I keep my expectations low when the set up is marginal..
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Granddaddyp2233 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 03, 2021 6:58 am If all models are agreeing why is Tyler saying trace? No way surrey doesn’t get 5-10cms
The map he posted is predicted amounts tomorrow. Not including Monday.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 93317?s=20
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