January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 7:11 pm Looks like mostly cold rain showers tomorrow on the 00z 3km NAM. Some snowflakes could mix in with the heavier showers between 8am and 2pm.
I'm honestly more interested in late Monday onward as the whole atmospheric column is sufficiently cold by then
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Radar wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 6:28 pm HRRR has been more accurate.
If I could use that more than 18 hours out I'd be all over it.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 7:21 pm If I could use that more than 18 hours out I'd be all over it.
Every 6 hours it goes out 48 (IIRC) hours.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z ICON. Wednesday 4pm to Thursday 10am.
:flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh72-90.gif
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 7:26 pm 00z ICON. Wednesday 4pm to Thursday 10am.
:flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh72-90.gif
That has major overrun event potential written all over it.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Monty wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 6:36 pm Hrrr seems to be really hit and miss. Maybe it’s good on the mainland but not on the island. Maybe it doesn’t handle the terrain and ocean interaction as well over here.
Been fairly good for last 2 snowfalls. I had close to 15cm on each of them. Yesterday / today I got none and it said none. But north shore got a little and so did hope.


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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 7:26 pm 00z ICON. Wednesday 4pm to Thursday 10am.
:flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh72-90.gif
I'd be very surprised if that one fell apart. Seems ready to lock in.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 7:20 pm I'm honestly more interested in late Monday onward as the whole atmospheric column is sufficiently cold by then
Yep. Maybe a north of the fraser special early Tuesday morning? :think:
rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_37.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 7:39 pm Yep. Maybe a north of the fraser special early Tuesday morning? :think:
rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_37.png
More like port Mann special. Ugh. Might have to call in sick that day if that insanity verified.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 7:24 pm Every 6 hours it goes out 48 (IIRC) hours.
Ah didn't know that thanks
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Pomoman wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 4:55 pm Seems to be a mix of rain and wet snow up here.
Better than nothing I guess :|
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weatherhead2 »

Looking for rain/heat to melt the rest of this slush. My least fav part of snow walking in that crap. I never cleaned my car from any of the snow events (didn’t drive it) and it’s basically cleared itself off today so that’s nice lol
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Weatherhead2 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 7:52 pm Looking for rain/heat to melt the rest of this slush. My least fav part of snow walking in that crap. I never cleaned my car from any of the snow events (didn’t drive it) and it’s basically cleared itself off today so that’s nice lol
I live in an RV and it's leaking right now due to the melt. Massive icycles falling is kind of scary as well especially for our pets. Probably could've done a better job when it was all just fluffy powder.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 7:47 pm Ah didn't know that thanks
Yup. The 00, 06, 12 and 18Z go out 48 hours. Although it really is a short term model.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 02, 2022 7:39 pm Yep. Maybe a north of the fraser special early Tuesday morning? :think:
It definitely looks that way, but it is close to being good for almost everyone.

:wish:
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