January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Abby_wx]

Very mild day... 8C. Running about 3C warmer than yesterday.

[Typeing3]

Very mild day... 8C. Running about 3C warmer than yesterday.

Currently 6c in east Coquitlam.

High yesterday was 7c.

[Typeing3]

I hit -3 last night, not sure of the point what, since my display for the overnight only shows single digits.

Mine isn't much better as it displays the temp in half degree increments.

[wetcoast91]

Fantastic weather today.

[Catnip]

Fantastic weather today.

Absolutely.

That’s one thing I can agree with you on.

[wetcoast91]

Absolutely.

That’s one thing I can agree with you on.

925mb temps support snow down to 300m. One thing working against sticking snows down to SL would be the fact that we see morning sun before the quick hitting system arrives by early afternoon. Different story if the timing moves up.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Currently 6.5˚C after a max of 7.6˚C.

[Typeing3]

The only analysis of the season so far.

18z GFS shows a weak slider dropping down the coast later this week (Thursday) with scattered showers and flurries, followed by a very minor shot of modified arctic air for Friday and Saturday accompanied by weak outflow.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh84-138.gif

gfs_T2m_nwus_fh84-138.gif

gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_fh84-138.gif

Day 4.5 trend (Thursday evening) at the 500mb level seems to indicate more a more favourable blocking setup in the GOA over the past few runs:

gfs_z500a_npac_fh108_trend (1).gif

FWIW, the 12z GEM and the 18z ICON also show a similar setup. 12z ECMWF looks warmer.

[Typeing3]

925mb temps support snow down to 300m. One thing working against sticking snows down to SL would be the fact that we see morning sun before the quick hitting system arrives by early afternoon. Different story if the timing moves up.

Timing does appear to be moving up. Could see precip moving in for Thursday morning at this rate.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh96_trend.gif

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

The only analysis of the season so far.

18z GFS shows a weak slider dropping down the coast later this week (Thursday) with scattered showers and flurries, followed by a very minor shot of modified arctic air for Friday and Saturday accompanied by weak outflow.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh84-138.gif
gfs_T2m_nwus_fh84-138.gif
gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_fh84-138.gif



Day 4.5 trend (Thursday evening) at the 500mb level seems to indicate more a more favourable blocking setup in the GOA over the past few runs:
gfs_z500a_npac_fh108_trend (1).gif



FWIW, the 12z GEM and the 18z ICON also show a similar setup. 12z ECMWF looks warmer.

Totals in the lowlands look decidedly underwhelming.

gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7741600.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7741600.png

[wetcoast91]

Totals in the lowlands look decidedly underwhelming.

gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7741600.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7741600.png

This could be our only shot of snow this winter.

[Catnip]

This could be our only shot of snow this winter.

Meager amounts aren’t worth it.

Let’s go for a true stinker of a winter!

C’MON!!!

Unless #FEB can deliver that is.

[Hawk]

We've seen this before a few times. The models are struggling. Right now we are in a pattern change. it's only mid January...What's going to happen next? Cant be any worse

[Typeing3]

Currently 6.5˚C after a max of 7.6˚C.

High of 7c here. Currently 2.5c.

[Typeing3]

Hopefully the trend of that initial trough digging further SW on Thursday/Friday holds, as it results in some much needed rainfall for Southern California by next weekend (and low snow levels as well).

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_wus_26.png