February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monty posted this to the AF. HRDPS now shows light snow over metro Vancouver for tonight and tomorrow. Given that the Euro and GFS were already calling for same, this is now a strong signal.
45638418-4A26-4A55-A59C-6173E21903A0.png.44a3c9e898afc43b7db42dcb8a59bedb.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Positive trends
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7628800 (2).png[/attachment[attachment=0]ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7628800.png
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Feb 21, 2023 10:42 am 22.2 over my area.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7445200.png
If those amounts verify, this winter moves solidly into A+ territory IMBY.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Feb 21, 2023 10:50 am If those amounts verify, this winter moves solidly into A+ territory IMBY.
In our modern grading system, we call that "proficient"
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Monty
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Not even a special weather statement yet. EC is sleeping. 💤
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Feb 21, 2023 10:56 am Not even a special weather statement yet. EC is sleeping. 💤
Particularly given what temperatures will be doing. It does not take much snow to cause travel chaos when it is accompanied by a flash freeze.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

All three models (Euro, GEM, and GFS) agree on a significant snowfall Saturday night. What could go wrong? Last minute rug pull. :lol: :silent:

While we all know nothing is set in stone until at least 96 hours out, this is a very strong signal for a widespread snowstorm. :thumbup: :flakey:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7423600.png
gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7423600.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

I think we're good.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-7650400.png
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

:tiredos:
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Bonovox
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Feb 21, 2023 10:45 am Monty posted this to the AF. HRDPS now shows light snow over metro Vancouver for tonight and tomorrow. Given that the Euro and GFS were already calling for same, this is now a strong signal.
I'm not seeing that. 12Z HRDPS has a line of rain showers/snow move through this evening around 0500pm and is then dry over the Lower Mainland.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Feb 21, 2023 11:40 am I'm not seeing that. 12Z HRDPS has a line of rain showers/snow move through this evening around 0500pm and is then dry over the Lower Mainland.
He meant Vancouver, Washington. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Feb 21, 2023 11:08 am All three models (Euro, GEM, and GFS) agree on a significant snowfall Saturday night. What could go wrong? Last minute rug pull. :lol: :silent:

While we all know nothing is set in stone until at least 96 hours out, this is a very strong signal for a widespread snowstorm. :thumbup: :flakey:

Getting kinda excited about Saturday. :shock:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Bonovox
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 21, 2023 11:41 am He meant Vancouver, Washington. :thumbup:
Is that where Jesse lives? He'll be slightly less angry about life, I guess.
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Feb 21, 2023 11:43 am Is that where Jesse lives? He'll be slightly less angry about life, I guess.
He will complain about the snow only being a 5:1 ratio instead of 15:1
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Slightly unrelated, but this is LOL from HRRR

https://twitter.com/US_Stormwatch/statu ... 9795688449
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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