January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

John wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 3:18 pm Unfortunately positivity is not going to make it colder
I support your right to be negative I’m just surprised because you are usually staunchly positive. But like I said, I get it. This climate truly blows. It can break you. And like you say, it doesn’t matter what we think, the weather will do as it pleases.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 3:22 pm Where’s STORM? Miss his posts.
He's getting some mugs made.. 5000 for Nito.. :lol:

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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Can someone post the pretty snowfall maps plz. :D :clap: l saw them on the AF. :shock:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Isn't the 18Z usually the drunken uncle run. :shock:
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Sat Jan 09, 2021 4:03 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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PortKells
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

I posted the 12z a few pages back. This one is pretty but that one is a ten.

F2BB5324-DAAA-4912-A6AB-29F3B312D632.png
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

18Z GEFS looks shockingly similar to the operational. :shock: :o :shock:

Fun times ahead. :thumbup:
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PortKells
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 4:10 pm 18Z GEFS looks shockingly similar to the operational. :shock: :o :shock:

Fun times ahead. :thumbup:
Haven’t been this confident at 300 hours out, maybe ever really. Thing is it started with the ensembles, not the drunken uncles. Not to mention how often the weeklies spat out these cold snaps. It could always go south but I’m not feeling it.

* I’ve only been following models in detail for really this winter and maybe last so I suppose that’s not a very big statement but anyway. Let’s see what the next 3-4 days look like with the evolution of the pattern and the placement of the blocks.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

GEFS Ensembles North America 500 hPa Height Anom.gif
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 4:37 pm GEFS Ensembles North America 500 hPa Height Anom.gif
Looking good. Hopefully that high doesn’t go any further west though.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Look at this...Excellent agreement now. All members tanking.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 3:22 pm Where’s STORM? Miss his posts.
Here, can't really get excited for model riding yet.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Storm wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 5:12 pm Here, can't really get excited for model riding yet.
The rug pull on the 00Z GooFuS tonight. :thumbdown:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

I see we're starting to see some clown ranging. Let's go!
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 5:44 pm I see we're starting to see some clown ranging. Let's go!
A lot of members not on board Van man, too gun shy. I'm not buying into it, if El Nito deletes his account you know the ice age cometh.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 09, 2021 5:46 pm A lot of members not on board Van man, too gun shy. I'm not buying into it, if El Nito deletes his account you know the ice age cometh.
I don't think you would ever see all members on board at this range. But I only see like 3 or 4 members actually going up at the end and one of them is cold right before. The trend is remarkably consistent. Hard to imagine things looking better this far out IMO. Still time for us to get bent over as always.
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