October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

When John is back you know the weather is no laughing matter. it's currently 8c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Cold air arrives in Vancouver and I go out of town. I will be a little choked if it is a winter paradise in Vancouver while I am in a summer paradise (Mexico).

Lovely Ty my man, lots of off the beaten paths for a good bike ride in Mexico just don't do it perhaps in Tijuana.

[Radar]

A short tstorm. Fading away but almost too bright for my camera.

74AFEF1E-0019-47F8-AE7F-5A783883FE41.jpeg

3E3DCDB0-AC89-4690-B92E-851BA6F58339.jpeg

[Catnip]

D2929E2E-2F6B-4A25-BC97-793026480CCA.jpeg

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

A short tstorm. Fading away but almost too bright for my camera.

Wow, mini me minion l drove right through the heart of that mini beast on Highway 1 westbound l started seeing at least 3 flashes before the Vedder bridge towards Abby and then at least 4 huge flashes and heavy rain betwenn no. 3 rd and Clearbrook. we get nothing hardly all summer and then bang.
If this leads to an epic winter bring it on baby.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

D2929E2E-2F6B-4A25-BC97-793026480CCA.jpeg

Darn just made the border restrictions force field l'm impressed.

[Abby_wx]

That was quite a storm! Very impressive lightning and some of the loudest thunder I've heard in years. Very heavy rain as well. 9.2 mm in just over 30 minutes with a peak rate of 187 mm/hr.

[Michael1]

We didn't get any lightning, but boy did it rain like hell for about an hour.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (12).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (13).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (14).png

[Typeing3]

20221025091609-a51359ac8e1fab2b1b5a72ecfc4791dab005c935.png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (12).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (13).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (14).png

To my eyes the Canadian still looks chillier in the long run GEM and the GoofuS shows a chilly couple of day's next week.
And of course the non stop precip continues on all 3 models.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

That was quite a storm! Very impressive lightning and some of the loudest thunder I've heard in years. Very heavy rain as well. 9.2 mm in just over 30 minutes with a peak rate of 187 mm/hr.

The storm cell completely missed the pond in south Sardis according to my stations rain bucket
It also shows the lightning was 13km to 18km away sounds about right based on my drive in to Abby during the height of the storm. It's currently 7c @ the only pond in south Sardis.

[stuffradio]

I heard thunder and saw Lightning once yesterday night in Langley.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

20221025091609-a51359ac8e1fab2b1b5a72ecfc4791dab005c935.png

Puts those ensemble runs showing snow members in context, because it really doesn’t look like much of a snow pattern in the near future. Maybe a little slush on the ground (probably limited to hilltop areas) on the morning of the 2nd.

[Catnip]

yxxsnow.png