August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Bonovox]

14Z HRRR continues to show some storms moving through later this morning into early afternoon. It has actually shifted the track SE towards the Lower Mainland. We’ll see.

[Coquitlam79]

14Z HRRR continues to show some storms moving through later this morning into early afternoon. It has actually shifted the track SE towards the Lower Mainland. We’ll see.

It looks like the area of heavy showers and storms is too far West to make it across the Strait. We'll see. The other line of storms and showers is stretching from south of Seattle into the eastern Fraser Valley. Most of Metro Vancouver is stuck in the middle getting nothing as usual.

[Bonovox]

It looks like the area of heavy showers and storms is too far West to make it across the Strait. We'll see. The other line of storms and showers is stretching from south of Seattle into the eastern Fraser Valley. Most of Metro Vancouver is stuck in the middle getting nothing as usual.

It does appear that way. And that will probably be the most likely outcome. But, the HRRR does develop a secondary impulse that makes it way across the Strait around 10-11AM. It will probably be another nowcast scenario.

[Bonovox]

Some echoes of red popping up over the Island.

[Bonovox]

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... XiW4X_m-gA

[Bonovox]

It does appear that way. And that will probably be the most likely outcome. But, the HRRR does develop a secondary impulse that makes it way across the Strait around 10-11AM. It will probably be another nowcast scenario.

And the latest HRRR takes away our fun. It is kind of comical at this point.

[Hawk]

And the latest HRRR takes away our fun. It is kind of comical at this point.

Tell em Bono!! Although the HRRR sounds like a great model, when it is correct

[Bonovox]

Tell em Bono!! Although the HRRR sounds like a great model, when it is correct

In theory it is supposed to do well in convective type setups. Who knows really.

[Hawk]

Watch for reports of water spouts today..imo a good chance we get at least one "somewhere out there, i know you're out there..."

[wetcoast91]

I saw a few rain drops!

SCORE!

[Bonovox]

I saw a few rain drops!

SCORE!

Did you have to shovel?

[Abby_wx]

My low was 20.7C, which is crazy for August. I can recall only a handful of other lows above 20C, all in June and July.

Jun 27, 2021 21.9
Jun 28, 2021 22.1
Jun 29, 2021 21.1
Jul 11, 2007 20.3
Jul 29, 2009 20.1
Jul 30, 2009 22.9
Aug 19, 2022 20.7

[Roberts Creeker]

Thundering here. Started about 15 min ago, have had several long rumbles and now it's raining, big drops. Got soaked covering the wood pile.

[Bonovox]

This was the 15Z HRRR for 10AM local with the actual radar image attached for comparison.

[wetcoast91]

Did you have to shovel?

Sandbags and road salt are prepared.