January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hound wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:03 pm At this point I just want 1 snow day. Just one damn snow day. We don't need a week of cold or whatever. Just 1 widespread snowfall of 10cm so everyone can be happy and then this winter can FRO.
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I set my expectations low for this winter, a 2017/18 repeat. Didn't think I was being overly optimistic at the time LOL. But yeah it is what it is, not the end of the world but definitely not the best year for a complete bust. Although there is still some time for redemption but I'm starting to think its going to happen in April like Nito keeps saying.
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

And the 18z GFS isn’t total garbage.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nimbus2 »

Quite a difference in two days! Don't trust models ten days out!!
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

:lol:
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

18z vs. 12z
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:39 pm:lol:
Outlier. It's over. I accept defeat. Winter cancel. The bears are about to wake up from hibernation. Time for a bike ride. :D :clap:
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Esquimalt39
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:42 pm18z vs. 12z
Do you have snow maps for the 18Z? Looked very snowy for my area.
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Monty
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Ohhhhhhh Shhhhhooooot. GFS Alert 🚨

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North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Esquimalt39 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:44 pm Do you have snow maps for the 18Z? Looked very snowy for my area.
Here’s a map of how much snow won’t actually fall.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Only 11 days away!
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_44.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

That is a huge block over the Arctic :shock: . And a nice SE ridge builds in as well :thumbup: . Let the model riding continue :D
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:45 pm Ohhhhhhh Shhhhhooooot. GFS Alert 🚨

Image
This is how our winter has gone so far.

:progress:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Roberts Creeker
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:49 pm Here’s a map of how much snow won’t actually fall.
Ah, finally a model assessment that will verify this winter. :lol:
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

18Z GFS scores backdoor. :clap:
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Flakey
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Flakey »

I've been too busy to read every post this year but has definitely been a very dull, gloomy winter even for a life long Lower Mainland resident. Quit following long range models years ago as got tired of telling people the cold/snow was coming only to end up with egg on my face when the opposite would happen. ( But thanks to all who post them ) Hopefully Feb gives us something but not holding out much hope at the moment as real cold hasn't even got very close to us.
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