January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:03 pm 1981-2010 normals

Vancouver (YVR) annual snowfall: 38cm
Coquitlam (Burquitlam) annual snowfall: 64cm
Abbotsford (YXX) annual snowfall: 55cm

New York (Central park) annual snowfall: 65cm
Philadelphia (Airport) annual snowfall: 57cm
Washington DC (Regan airport) annual snowfall: 39cm

:think: :think:
Very comparable. They occasionally get a big storm but then Go years without.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Monty wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:07 pm Very comparable. They occasionally get a big storm but then Go years without.
But it's cool how if a system is moving up the coast they get cold air drawn back in. Unlike here it opens the door to the westerlys.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:07 pm Very comparable. They occasionally get a big storm but then Go years without.
Yep. New York got only about 10cm of snow last winter.

I'd say the occurance of big snowstorms across the PNW has declined more over the last few decades in comparison to the east coast. Hence the more rapid reduction in average snowfall (especially for coastal and lower elevation locales).
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

00Z Goofy not looking good. When John leaves you know it's not good.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:09 pm But it's cool how if a system is moving up the coast they get cold air drawn back in. Unlike here it opens the door to the westerlys.
Systems moving up the east coast can draw in arctic air from the NW in behind. Similar to how arctic air from the N/NE follows coastal sliders here.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:03 pm 1981-2010 normals

Vancouver (YVR) annual snowfall: 38cm
Coquitlam (Burquitlam) annual snowfall: 64cm
Abbotsford (YXX) annual snowfall: 55cm

New York (Central park) annual snowfall: 65cm
Philadelphia (Airport) annual snowfall: 57cm
Washington DC (Reagan airport) annual snowfall: 39cm

:think: :think:
OK, then we’re just having a sucky winter. Again.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:14 pm Systems moving up the east coast can draw in arctic air from the NW in behind. Similar to how arctic air from the N/NE follows coastal sliders here.
Yes but they get those often. We don't get sliders much.
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:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:15 pm Yes but they get those often. We don't get sliders much.
I wouldn't say they get them often. Usually only one or two per winter, and can go a few years without any.

Those storms tend to be quite big and hence get huge media attention. The eastern media bias plays a big part in that too. :lol:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

I think this run looks better tbh but nothing is going to save us in the "believable" range trough. That trough looking far too East to hit us. We've pushed it back this far, what's another few days..

Edit: Then the block becomes too squished. Doesn't look favourable unless something miraculous happens.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 8:28 pm I think this run looks better tbh but nothing is going to save us in the "believable" range trough. That trough looking far too East to hit us. We've pushed it back this far, what's another few days..

Edit: Then the block becomes too squished. Doesn't look favourable unless something miraculous happens.
Euronious for the win.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 7:47 pm :o wow double me 23mm in south Sardis 188mm for the month.
I'm now at 52.3mm for today so far. Looks like Abbotsford may have been in the bullseye of the heavy rain, which is fairly rare. :thumbup:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthHillFrosty »

if anybody wants to see some snow.... here is the major snowstorm hitting New York!
https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/544 ... 3/page/11/
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Major improvements on the CMC Ensembles so far. :thumbup:

00Z:
cmc-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-2893600.png

12Z:
cmc-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-2893600 (1).png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Looks like 199mm of rain for Jan/21 and 2cm of snowfall. On to Feb. Spring is on the way. :?
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Pretty wet day, I got 46.6 mm up to midnight.
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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