January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Euromatic time!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:01 pm Operational continues to be out to lunch with the Ensembles:

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-1705600.png

gfs-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-1705600.png
That's what worries me Jr.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John holding you up tonight Gimps. :lol:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Ripped this off from the AF folks.
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nw-total_snow_10to1-1770400.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:05 pm That's what worries me Jr.
I'd be much more worried if it were the ensembles showing the solution currently modelled on the operational. I'm thankful its the other way around.

Honestly, with the amount of flip flopping on the operational versus the consistency of the ensembles, I'd have to throw the operational solutions in the garbage for now, as they really don't seem to have a grasp on the pattern change yet.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:11 pm I'd be much more worried if it were the ensembles showing the solution currently modelled on the operational. I'm thankful its the other way around.

Honestly, with the amount of flip flopping on the operational versus the consistency of the ensembles, I'd have to throw the operational solutions in the garbage for now, as they really don't seem to have a grasp on the pattern change yet.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 9:48 pm Lots of cold air in Western Canada:

090DFE1F-313C-4D1F-A06F-CFF9946CA956.png
Looks decent.

Pattern beginning next week looks like a gradual cool down, with significant cold potential past day 10.

Cool/cold onshore flow beginning next Thurs. Cold air begins loading up north and in AB and slowly filters in the interior. Could see some wet snowfalls across the south coast day 7 thru day 10.

Pattern turns cooler with more of an offshore component day 10-12 as some cold air in the interior tries to push out to the coast. Whether it turns very cold/dry past day 11 or 12 is still very much in the air.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:28 pm Looks decent.

Pattern beginning next week looks like a gradual cool down, with significant cold potential past day 10.

Cool/cold onshore flow beginning next Thurs. Cold air begins loading up north and in AB and slowly filters in the interior. Could see some wet snowfalls across the south coast day 7 thru day 10.

Pattern turns cooler with more of an offshore component day 10-12 as some cold air in the interior tries to push out to the coast. Whether it turns very cold/dry past day 11 or 12 is still very much in the air.
How much snow for Chilliwack? asking for afew friends out here.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:30 pm How much snow for Chilliwack? asking for afew friends out here.
At this range? Flip a coin. :lol:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:30 pm How much snow for Chilliwack? asking for afew friends out here.
FEETZ!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:33 pmFEETZ!
Me wants feetz too!

Cold and clear out there tonight. 2C and car is frozen.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

As long as this rain stops. I'm surprised there hasn't been more flooding or other rain related issues across the area.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:32 pm At this range? Flip a coin. :lol:
Feetz it is.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:37 pm Me wants feetz too!

Cold and clear out there tonight. 2C and car is frozen.
You can't handle the Feetz. :lol:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:39 pm Feetz it is.
Finz for you

Weatherpro alert!
Last edited by Forrest Gump on Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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