June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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East Chilliwack
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by East Chilliwack »

Haha and that was supposed to say “shut” down
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Jun 02, 2021 6:20 pm That is truly surprising and astounding, given what a cool spot YVR tends to be during warm spells.

By the way, what’s a “fotecast?”
Pretty common theme... temps at YVR tend to peak/overperform on the last day of a warm/hot spell, when much of the region (city+ inland suburbs) have already hit their extreme Tmax for the event.
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Wed Jun 02, 2021 4:55 pm 2012 was a cool and wet spring if I recall and a very wet late June. I remember Canada day being a washout that year much like last year. I'd like this heat to hold off until July though. The earlier the hot weather arrives, the more likely we will get a smoke show. Looks like a wetter and cooler pattern for this weekend and into next week but the latest CPC is now back to below median precip for the 6-10 and 8-14 day. They need a wet June in the interior or there will likely be a smoke show.
2012 was a fairly cool and wet spring. Nothing crazy though, and all it really takes is a couple warm/dry weeks in the summer for the fire risk to spike up to high/extreme. Canada day was not a washout in 2012 (was cool/dry), and after the first couple weeks of July things completely dried out and stayed that way until early October.

Precip at YVR during late spring/summer 2012 was 42.6mm in May, 76.8mm in June, 27.8mm in July, 2.9mm in August, 5.0mm in September and through to the first 11 days of October.
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

East Chilliwack wrote: Wed Jun 02, 2021 6:45 pm Haha and that was supposed to say “shut” down
:lol: figured it out East Whackman.
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Jun 02, 2021 8:04 pm 2012 was a fairly cool and wet spring. Nothing crazy though, and all it really takes is a couple warm/dry weeks in the summer for the fire risk to spike up to high/extreme. Canada day was not a washout in 2012 (was cool/dry), and after the first couple weeks of July things completely dried out and stayed that way until early October.

Precip at YVR during late spring/summer 2012 was 42.6mm in May, 76.8mm in June, 27.8mm in July, 2.9mm in August, 5.0mm in September and through to the first 11 days of October.
Much appreciate the updates C79/T3, l know this time of year can be dullsville but it's weather. On that note hit a high of 31.1c today in south Sardis, the overnight low was 15.0 so a real summer feel the last couple of day's. Hard to imagine the weekend will be 15c degrees cooler take all the rain we can get.
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Jun 02, 2021 8:04 pm 2012 was a fairly cool and wet spring. Nothing crazy though, and all it really takes is a couple warm/dry weeks in the summer for the fire risk to spike up to high/extreme. Canada day was not a washout in 2012 (was cool/dry), and after the first couple weeks of July things completely dried out and stayed that way until early October.

Precip at YVR during late spring/summer 2012 was 42.6mm in May, 76.8mm in June, 27.8mm in July, 2.9mm in August, 5.0mm in September and through to the first 11 days of October.
Wow nice work TypingMan. Thats throwing down some serious digits! :clap:
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

How many of you mofos have your weather station on this list?
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Anyone feel like posting the euro precipitation totals?
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Models are toying with a surge of heat from the desert SW out towards mid June. Also could be a tstorm pattern out in week 2 as that upper level low retrogrades to the west before swinging thru. Models are no doubt going to struggle with that scenario
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Thu Jun 03, 2021 10:13 pm Models are toying with a surge of heat from the desert SW out towards mid June. Also could be a tstorm pattern out in week 2 as that upper level low retrogrades to the west before swinging thru. Models are no doubt going to struggle with that scenario
Wow. That sounds like a perfect wildfire setup. Hope we can pick up some decent rain here over the weekend.
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jun 03, 2021 10:20 pm Wow. That sounds like a perfect wildfire setup. Hope we can pick up some decent rain here over the weekend.
Probably a bit early for big fire setups. The upper elevations are pretty moist from snow melt still
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Monty wrote: Thu Jun 03, 2021 10:13 pm Models are toying with a surge of heat from the desert SW out towards mid June. Also could be a tstorm pattern out in week 2 as that upper level low retrogrades to the west before swinging thru. Models are no doubt going to struggle with that scenario
That will bring the members out of the woodwork if Tstorms come to pass.
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hey Mr. Kells decided on your next dose Astra Zeneca or other? just curious.
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Re: June 2021 Fotecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Fri Jun 04, 2021 4:36 am Hey Mr. Kells decided on your next dose Astra Zeneca or other? just curious.
Hey Sardis. No decision yet but I'll probably stay the course because the blood clot risk is apparently exceedingly low on your second dose. Are you thinking of mixing and matching?
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