September Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Antares
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

Glacier wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 1:16 pm With all due respect to Frankie, Vancouver will never have a major earthquake. Yes, earthquakes of 5 and 6 are possible, but nothing like what Anchorage had in 1964 or what the Queen Charlottes or California gets sometimes. The reason being that the nearest fault line is almost 300km away. plates.png
Anchorage is 125km west of the epicenter of the 1964 quake.

Vancouver is close enough to the danger zone that I'd be concerned and it is the type of setup that can experience very severe quakes, similar to Chile, Japan, New Zealand, and Alaska.
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Glacier wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 1:16 pm With all due respect to Frankie, Vancouver will never have a major earthquake. Yes, earthquakes of 5 and 6 are possible, but nothing like what Anchorage had in 1964 or what the Queen Charlottes or California gets sometimes. The reason being that the nearest fault line is almost 300km away. plates.png
His video was specifically mentioning Vancouver Island though, he never mentioned Vancouver itself.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Glacier wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 1:16 pm With all due respect to Frankie, Vancouver will never have a major earthquake. Yes, earthquakes of 5 and 6 are possible, but nothing like what Anchorage had in 1964 or what the Queen Charlottes or California gets sometimes. The reason being that the nearest fault line is almost 300km away. plates.png
And that fault is now due for an Mw 9.0 earthquake. Once the numbers get that large, the epicenter does not have to be that close for major damage to get done.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 12:52 pm Definitely looks like quite the cool down starting around the 10th with a fall-like pattern setting up, though it doesn't look crazy wet... yet. Maybe that means we warm up again and dry out late month or in early October.

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (10).png
And don't forget a nice warm and dry December and January 😜
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 2:33 pm And don't forget a nice warm and dry December and January 😜
That would be par for the course. :roll:

Though if I had only two choices, I'd prefer a warm and dry pattern in December/January over a warm/wet one.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Glacier wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 1:16 pm With all due respect to Frankie, Vancouver will never have a major earthquake. Yes, earthquakes of 5 and 6 are possible, but nothing like what Anchorage had in 1964 or what the Queen Charlottes or California gets sometimes. The reason being that the nearest fault line is almost 300km away. plates.png
Yeah if that plate gave way we'd be in huge trouble Glace.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Well Gimps are you practicing for the 4th annual over the hill l can't find my depends snowfall contest.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 8:38 pm Well Gimps are you practicing for the 4th annual over the hill l can't find my depends snowfall contest.
You'll have to get your measuring sticks calibrated before the season starts to measure all the feetz of snow :clap: :clap:

EC had backed off on the precip this morning to showers Saturday and rain Sat. night possible showers Sunday, now it's rain for both day and night tomorrow with a toasty high of 15C. Brrr.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 8:38 pm Well Gimps are you practicing for the 4th annual over the hill l can't find my depends snowfall contest.
Yup, hitting the gym daily,which is at my house. My winning formula : 3 curls with my shovel , 2 jumping jacks , 1 pushup, and half a chin up. After burning so many calories I then nourish and replenish my body with 3 balanced meals : breakfast- large bowl of dark chocolate mini donuts sprinkled with fresh raspberries. Lunch : protein shake and banana/earl grey tea smoothie. Dinner : 3 cheeseburgers , 2 jumbo hot dogs , and a bowl of chorizo sausage cherry tomato pasta salad , no fries. I make sure I fast between meals, very important, liquids only, I alternate between water,coffee and beer.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Glacier wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 1:16 pm With all due respect to Frankie, Vancouver will never have a major earthquake. Yes, earthquakes of 5 and 6 are possible, but nothing like what Anchorage had in 1964 or what the Queen Charlottes or California gets sometimes. The reason being that the nearest fault line is almost 300km away. plates.png
Better have a read of this published just today:
https://bc.ctvnews.ca/sfu-earth-scienti ... -1.5573512

Even a tsunami set off on the east coast of Japan could have serious effects here.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

hrdps_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_17.png
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Wow! I'm under the green and...nothing!
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I’m setting up a VPS at Digital Ocean this weekend for the forum. I’m excited!
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (11).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

gfs-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-2139200.png
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