October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

[Typeing3]

Whoa, the Golden Ears Peaks n Valleys continue ..with lots of troffing. Looks to be the default #patternlock we are stuck in

Averages out to be fairly zonal, imo. Lots of rain for us.

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (11).png

[Typeing3]

This feels like 2016. Early fall, non stop rain train.

We'll need rain almost everyday until month's end to keep pace with 2016. Precip was very persistent that fall.

October 2016 had about 3/4 days with no rain, while we're already up to about 5 days this month.

[drbils]

Quite a pronounced rain shadow here in steveston. Just a light rain but noticeably heavier in north Richmond. Will this be the case throughout this AR?

[Antares]

Never count your snowstorms until they...flake? Yeah, let's go with that.

Never count your snowstorms until they flake, Sardine.

I guess.

I prefer accumulation though.

Around 7am this morning I saw some flakes falling even though it was about 5C. Had some sprinkles this afternoon too.

[SouthSardiswx]

Quite a pronounced rain shadow here in steveston. Just a light rain but noticeably heavier in north Richmond. Will this be the case throughout this AR?

Welcome back drillbits for another fun season of press your snow luck with many whamy's.

[SouthSardiswx]

Only 11mm so far today in south Sardis lame.

[Coquitlam79]

We'll need rain almost everyday until month's end to keep pace with 2016. Precip was very persistent that fall.

October 2016 had about 3/4 days with no rain, while we're already up to about 5 days this month.

Would be nice if the similar wet Fall transitioned to decent lowland snow like in 2016/17. We had a cold and snowy December 2016 and some snow in early 2017. Wasn't 2016 a white Christmas?

[SouthSardiswx]

Would be nice if the similar wet Fall transitioned to decent lowland snow like in 2016/17. We had a cold and snowy December 2016 and some snow in early 2017. Wasn't 2016 a white Christmas?

Yes it was Cman as well as Dec/17, nice to see you back and look forward to your winter analysis going forward don't worry about rug pulls just do your best with your analysis this winter.

[Antares]

Only 11mm so far today in south Sardis lame.

Trace precip here today. Low of 5C high of 10C. Very mild compared to the past few days which had lows between -7C and -4C.

Next 10 days look mild here with highs around 15C. Is it a good thing for December?

[John]

Total bust on the rain so far

[SouthSardiswx]

Trace precip here today. Low of 5C high of 10C. Very mild compared to the past few days which had lows between -7C and -4C.

Next 10 days look mild here with highs around 15C. Is it a good thing for December?

Enjoying your reports from Cranbrook Ants home of the Kootenay ice, do they play in Cranbrook? just go easy on us when you have 10 feet of snow.
You may need an extra long stick to measure snowfall.

[Typeing3]

Would be nice if the similar wet Fall transitioned to decent lowland snow like in 2016/17. We had a cold and snowy December 2016 and some snow in early 2017. Wasn't 2016 a white Christmas?

Yeah that was a great winter and we did have a white Christmas.

We had snow on the ground here in east Coquitlam almost uninterrupted from early Dec thru late Feb.

[SouthSardiswx]

Total bust on the rain so far

Be patient John it's coming overnight.

[Typeing3]

Total bust on the rain so far

Was predicted to be a big gap in rainfall totals between northern and southern sections of the mainland. It'll pick up for everyone tonight and early tomorrow morning though.

North Coquitlam rain gauge is up to 53mm so far today.

[SouthSardiswx]

Yeah that was a great winter and we did have a white Christmas.

We had snow on the ground here in east Coquitlam almost uninterrupted from early Dec thru late Feb.

What about Dec/17 Thead? I know we did in Mission.