October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Phil and Snow Wizard are debating each other on the American forums. Welcome to the winter months.

How many times has Jim mentioned 1950 today?

[Typeing3]

How many times has Jim mentioned 1950 today?

Ah yes, his annual 1950 analogue reference. Right about on time... he usually mentions it whenever we see a cool/chilly period in October.

[Hawk]

Definitely an elevated chance of seeing a first freeze or at least a first frost a couple weeks ahead of the 1991-2020 climate normals.

Or early season snow capped NS mountains for once... instead of struggling to open by mid Dec

[SouthSardiswx]

Definitely an elevated chance of seeing a first freeze or at least a first frost a couple weeks ahead of the 1991-2020 climate normals.

Good call Tman best to keep the bar low save disappointment and criticism come March.

[AbbyJr]

Ah yes, his annual 1950 analogue reference. Right about on time... he usually mentions it whenever we see a cool/chilly period in October.

When was the last time a cool/chilly October has actually been followed by an epic arctic/snowy pattern in the DJF period?

[Roberts Creeker]

When was the last time a cool/chilly October has actually been followed by an epic arctic/snowy pattern in the DJF period?

1950?

Another nice day here but showers have moved in tonight. Currently 11.8C which is the high of the day.

[SouthSardiswx]

1950?

Another nice day here but showers have moved in tonight. Currently 11.8C which is the high of the day.

Yeah really.

[SouthSardiswx]

John!

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (19).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (20).png

[SouthSardiswx]

When was the last time a cool/chilly October has actually been followed by an epic arctic/snowy pattern in the DJF period?

Jr. man don't forget to post your September stats.

[Hawk]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (19).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (20).png

Whoa..this is legit chilly and wet

[Hawk]

There has been many recent years where the NS peaks would barely get any snow right through Nov, nm early Oct

[AbbyJr]

The 18Z RGEM went significantly wetter for Tuesday with 50 mm for Abbotsford. Previous runs were around 20 mm. Good thing I just cleaned out my rain gauge a few days ago.

Screen Shot 2021-10-03 at 8.39.26 PM.png

[SouthSardiswx]

The 18Z RGEM went significantly wetter for Tuesday with 50 mm for Abbotsford. Previous runs were around 20 mm. Good thing I just cleaned out my rain gauge a few days ago.

Screen Shot 2021-10-03 at 8.39.26 PM.png

Fill my pond baby.

[SouthSardiswx]

Just checked my pet wooly caterpillar, yup its gonna be a cold winter.

images.jpeg