October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Is it just me but does your vision go all wonky when you look at this map. :wtf:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Thu Oct 21, 2021 8:55 pm That's a bad landfall spot for damaging winds in the LM, Jr. man. :shock:
heatdome, huge windstorm what next record snows this winter not!
Yup. If that solution verified, it would be a destructive windstorm for much of the PNW including the Lower Mainland and Fraser Valley.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Oct 21, 2021 9:18 pm Yup. If that solution verified, it would be a destructive windstorm for much of the PNW including the Lower Mainland and Fraser Valley.
FWIW the Fraser Valley is part of the Lower Mainland. :thumbup:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lower_Mainland
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Forrest Gump »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Thu Oct 21, 2021 9:04 pm Is it just me but does your vision go all wonky when you look at this map. :wtf:
It's a place called Vertigo, you're mind can wander...speaking of, where's Bono, busy moving to higher elevations?

Actually it's one of those magic eye hidden image photos , if you look closely and go cross-eyed you'll see an image of a Kraken.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Thu Oct 21, 2021 11:00 pm It's a place called Vertigo, you're mind can wander...speaking of, where's Bono, busy moving to higher elevations?

Actually it's one of those magic eye hidden image photos , if you look closely and go cross-eyed you'll see an image of a Kraken.
:lol: looks more like a Knuckle powerplay in disarray Gimps. :sherlock:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

John wrote: Thu Oct 21, 2021 7:14 pm So
Far I don’t see this going to be a big wind producer for the valley I think it will go to far North or fill in and be much less powerful :dunno:
Yes John we also didn't believe it was going to hit 44 C at the end of June this year :shock: :shock:
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Mark Madryga sounded kinda excited about the potential wind event for later in the weekend.
He said quote (if it get's close to us we are in trouble) end quote keep monitoring it Jr. man. :thumbup:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 5:09 am Yes John we also didn't believe it was going to hit 44 C at the end of June this year :shock: :shock:
True :problem:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

GFS has the Low dropping down to 94.1 now just off the Wash/Oregon coast..and then slowly filling as it heads NE towards us.. >> :shock: :shock: :shock:

EDIT: nahhh..no way the pressure drops down to that. I'm saying model FAIL on this one..this is too crazy
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by tyweather »

North Island landfall?
Image

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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Big difference in the track of the low on UW MM5 12km NAM versus the regular 12km NAM:
UWMM5NAM.gif
nam-218-all-nw-mslp-5163200.png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hound »

What direction of winds will this be? The usual SW?
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hound »

Oregon's point of view:

Image

Image

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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hound »

Image

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