December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:15 am FWIW, weather.com seems to think Vancouver will be chilly and slushy next week.

Screenshot from 2021-12-07 11-13-31.png
l call that my always inaccurate weather app. don't know why they have that on Samsung Android and you can't delete it l believe.
Fun to look at for sheets and gigs Rubes.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:15 am FWIW, weather.com seems to think Vancouver will be chilly and slushy next week.

Screenshot from 2021-12-07 11-13-31.png
Definitely a safe bet.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hi John, :wave: back to my pond now. :D
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:19 am l call that my always inaccurate weather app. don't know why they have that on Samsung Android and you can't delete it l believe.
Fun to look at for sheets and gigs Rubes.
Hmmm… The times I’ve checked, weather.com (aka The Weather Channel, which is not the same thing as The Weather Network) tends to have some of the more accurate forecasts out there. Of course, nothing a week or more out is all that accurate….
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:23 am Hmmm… The times I’ve checked, weather.com (aka The Weather Channel, which is not the same thing as The Weather Network) tends to have some of the more accurate forecasts out there. Of course, nothing a week or more out is all that accurate….
Ya l don't know but rhe weather app. for this area seems way out for the most for some reason, perhaps computer generated material?
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

North Burnaby/Burquitlam
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Re: Doyle
Sun-Tue sporadic flurries, l don't believe it above 300m perhaps.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:57 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

12z EPS
14-km EPS Global North America 850 hPa Temp Anom(2).gif
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Catnip wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:43 am 12z EPS
:shock:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

:alert:


ecmwf-ensemble-nhem-avg-epo-box-8878400.png
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Pitt!

ecmwf-ensemble-CWMM-indiv_snow-8878400.png
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:43 am 12z EPS

14-km EPS Global North America 850 hPa Temp Anom(2).gif
Gets pretty interesting towards Christmas week. We will have to see if that amplification actually comes to fruition as the time frame nears.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 12:32 pm Pitt!


ecmwf-ensemble-CWMM-indiv_snow-8878400.png
You can always tell those ensemble snowfall maps have a serious resolution issue after day 5 or 6 or so.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Courtesy of the AF folks.
FGB9ugqX0AsLZ7j.png
If one could explain this would be appreciated l know it's something to do with phases so is it good bad or indifferent. :?
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 12:36 pm Courtesy of the AF folks.FGB9ugqX0AsLZ7j.png
If one could explain this would be appreciated l know it's something to do with phases so is it good bad or indifferent. :?
You don’t know your MJO roundy plots and atmospheric angular momentum. Back to school for you.

Honestly I’m not sure either.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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