January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

Long range forecast thoughts from the past few days:
https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/ ... 5574142979

https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/ ... 7410591751

https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/ ... 2000019459

https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/ ... 2767511553

https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/ ... 9959981064

[Roberts Creeker]

Another foggy day here...must have been the tsunami.

[SouthSardiswx]

I just saw this on Vanc. Isl. Weather Enthusiasts, "Kasia Bodurka on Global News said the fog is caused by the change in ocean currents from the tsunami". Is there any truth to this? We've had fog the past few days without a tsunami.

may as well say Cows tooting causes global warming.

[SouthSardiswx]

Another foggy day here...must have been the tsunami.

Toots from your sheep Ms. Foggedincreeks.

[SouthSardiswx]

but, but, but...what about the tsunami? Maybe you can use fog to predict tsunamis?

If you can't trust the weather 'girl' who can you trust?

Almost believeable as some of El Neatos reasons.

[SouthSardiswx]

The claim was by affecting currents, but tsunamis don't affect large-scale circulation patterns, despite how they can temporarily create very strong local currents over widespread regions.

Tsunami must have reached the central valley, super foggy out here. How do you even come up with that theory to much false internet surfing.

[SouthSardiswx]

[SouthSardiswx]

^^Yeah, it'll be interesting to see how much snow the GTA picks up in a 24hr/48hr period. Overall, Metro Vancouver seems to have a higher return rate of large snowfalls (>20cm) than the GTA so this type of storm is more unusual there than it would be here.

That's definitely a rarity Tfog, l cant recall a forecast that had that amount forecasted for the GTA, l remember the big snows back in the mid 90's that was huge didn't they call in the military for snow removal help that was absolutely insane that winter l remember the media coverage on that one.

[SouthSardiswx]

There's hope yet perhaps.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-3673600.png

[Typeing3]

That's definitely a rarity Tfog, l cant recall a forecast that had that amount forecasted for the GTA, l remember the big snows back in the mid 90's that was huge didn't they call in the military for snow removal help that was absolutely insane that winter l remember the media coverage on that one.

January 1999. IIRC... Toronto picked up about 100-120cm of snow in two weeks.

Just as a comparison, Vancouver picked up a similar amount of snow in approximately four days in January 1971. And of course some places surrounding Victoria also picked up a similar amount of snow in just two or three days in December 1996.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

[SouthSardiswx]

Happy blue Monday, supposedly it's the most depressing day of the year. Especially since we don't have any interesting weather to follow on that note looking like 3 or so sunny day's mid to late week.

[SouthSardiswx]

Hmmm...06Z GooFS

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_64.png

[SouthSardiswx]

Sending you a PM ole Stuffed bear pal.

[SouthSardiswx]

GTA update now expecting 50cm just updated.