January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

Still on the fence Jr. Man about more cold weather late month, early February.?

[moonshadow0825]

Shockwave from the volcanic explosion as recorded in Fraser Heights between 4 - 4:30 AM.


2022-01-15_134134.jpg

You may have 'been plotted! this was on SpaceWeather's front page

click on the link mid paragraph for the map with the progression.

VOLCANIC SHOCKWAVE RIPPLES ACROSS NORTH AMERICA: If you have a backyard weather station, you might have detected this weekend's volcanic eruption near Tonga. The undersea blast hurled a plume of sulfurous ash all the way to the stratosphere. Satellite videos show an atmospheric shockwave expanding on all sides of the plume.

Astronomer Matt Penn and colleagues decided to investigate further. "We plotted the times of barometric pressure peaks from 150 backyard weather stations available on Weather Underground," he explains. This movie sequence shows the data they found:

https://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_u ... _id=181627

"White dots mark the arrival of the shock wave during the five hour interval 11:30 UT to 16:30 UT," explains Penn. "There were some very large amplitude differences! We clearly saw that the wave was severely reduced by crossing the Rockies. I think it would be very interesting to look at a smaller region, measure amplitudes, and track the reduction as the wave moves from California through the Rockies and onto the Great Plains. There is a gold mine in the Weather Underground data set."

"We looked at only 150 sites," Penn continues. "There are thousands of sites that show the pressure wave and lots of cool science projects that could be done. I hope this inspires more people to take a look!"

[Monty]

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 8juDQ&s=19

Looks like the heaviest snow actually shifted NW from this. Toronto is getting slammed. Could be a record breaker there

[PortKells]

The models are really starting to shift the long range towards the west coast. Flipping the calendar to February never fails.

[PortKells]

This block

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[wetcoast91]

This block



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Pattern can always flip on a dime for sure.

Finishing touches to the temporary roof repairs will be completed Friday. I say temporary because I will redo the entire roof this summer. This cold spell really did a number on my driveway My neighbor installed brick paving stones in his driveway which has withstood the elements so far.

[stuffradio]

This block



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Just need SE ridging.

[VanCitySouth]

Looks like the heaviest snow actually shifted NW from this. Toronto is getting slammed. Could be a record breaker there

That gust to 67 knots at YYZ earlier must be a mistake though, surely.

[wetcoast91]

That gust to 67 knots at YYZ earlier must be a mistake though, surely.

Widespread 50-70cm of snow in GTA. Some locations reporting 1.5m drifts.

That's probably not going to melt until April.

[SouthSardiswx]

This block

And the AF weenies are starting again words and numbers like Feb, 2019, buried, 1950 are popping up again.

[SouthSardiswx]

Widespread 50-70cm of snow in GTA. Some locations reporting 1.5m drifts.

That's probably not going to melt until April.

That's o.k. El Neaters, the Maple Laffs will be done before the snow melts.

[VanCitySouth]

Widespread 50-70cm of snow in GTA. Some locations reporting 1.5m drifts.

That's probably not going to melt until April.

But a gust to 67 knots? I haven't seen anything about wind damage to that magnitude. That can't be right.

[PortKells]

cmc-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-3803200.png

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-3695200.png

[PortKells]

Just need SE ridging.

Looking more like a backdoor element from what I'm seeing but February is definitely in play.

[SouthSardiswx]

The models are really starting to shift the long range towards the west coast. Flipping the calendar to February never fails.

I don't mind early Feb. Kells that mid Feb. disappointed last year still left a sour taste in my mouth or was it the sour patch candies. Regardless l'm happy with winter this year anything else is bonus time just please something better than Feb. 2021 And l'll sail off into spring singing like a hawk, l mean a fish errr a hound no a cat awe never mind just absolutely thrilled.