September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Sep 01, 2022 9:44 pm July and August precip in Abbotsford 1936 to present.
A.png
B.png
C.png
D.png


Data: Abbotsford Upper Sumas 1936-1944 + YXX 1945 to present
Thanks.

Total July+August:

1. 2017 7.6 mm
2. 2022 12.2 mm
3. 1985 13.1 mm

However, some nearby areas were much wetter at the beginning of July. I recorded over 16 mm and I believe Chilliwack saw 30+ mm. My total for July+August was 23.6 mm, roughly double the official total.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

https://twitter.com/YVR__Weather/status ... UrIlQ&s=19
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... 66593?s=20
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#tripledip
#thirdtimesthecharm

:thumbup: :wave:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Fri Sep 02, 2022 8:41 am 9.3°C Victoria University.
:shock:
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Sep 02, 2022 1:50 pm #tripledip
#thirdtimesthecharm

:thumbup: :wave:
#laninaisbs :thumbdown:
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (9).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (10).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (11).png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20220902213313-a40583b2ea8eb0c0e7527a75a9eb1ee5ce44dfef.png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... tCtO5B5iaQ
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:

https://mobile.twitter.com/MMadryga/sta ... 1988808704
https://mobile.twitter.com/MMadryga/sta ... 1698328576

https://twitter.com/NWSSeattle/status/1 ... 4742991872

https://twitter.com/YKA_Weather/status/ ... 8539361280
https://twitter.com/YKA_Weather/status/ ... 3207937024
https://twitter.com/YKA_Weather/status/ ... 7290944512

https://twitter.com/PeterVogel/status/1 ... 7938691072

https://twitter.com/Zach_wx/status/1565839933935591425
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles

12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (2).png

12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60 (1).png

12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (2).png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Along with the provincial record set in Lytton, monthly records in Castlegar, Kamloops, Ashcroft, Warfield, etc. As expected. 8-)
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Fri Sep 02, 2022 4:31 pm Along with the provincial record set in Lytton, monthly records in Castlegar, Kamloops, Ashcroft, Warfield, etc. As expected. 8-)
For the south coast, the great September 1988 heatwave still reigns supreme by far. 2017 did come close, or surpass it in a few locations though.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Across the southern interior, this past August seems similar to August 1898 (also noted for its warmth across the inland PNW), or perhaps a touch cooler.

Kamloops: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 98&Month=8#
Vernon: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1898
Spences Bridge: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1898
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Across the Lower Mainland, meanwhile, this past August seems similar to August 1897.

Chilliwack: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 97&Month=8#
North Nicomen: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
New Westminster: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1897


Or August 1942.
Hope: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
Abbotsford Upper Sumas: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1942
Stave Falls: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
YVR: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 42&Month=8#
Downtown Vancouver: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2


Or lastly, August 1967. Luckily we have been spared the crazy wildfire season that occurred during the latter half of that summer. That ultimately resulted in a prolonged surface smokey stretch across the mainland later in September. Have a thread on that here: https://forums.bcstorms.ca/viewtopic.php?f=201&t=1761
Hope: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
Chilliwack: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
Agassiz: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1967
Mission: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
Abbotsford YXX: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
Vancouver YVR: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 67&Month=8#
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