November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Pretty chilly run for November.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

My takeaway at this point, we get some chilly air and a couple of snow chances next week. Chances being the key word. Pretty good for early November.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Tue Nov 01, 2022 9:00 am Here are the CANSIPS temps.

No complaints here.

nov.png
de.png
jan.png
feb.png
January! I have my doubts... :problem:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

PortKells wrote: Tue Nov 01, 2022 10:28 am Ageeed. November 2017 is a best case.
I want December '16.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Nov 01, 2022 10:42 am My takeaway at this point, we get some chilly air and a couple of snow chances next week. Chances being the key word. Pretty good for early November.
Likely a lot of cold rain and a bit of slush for the lowlands. Good pattern for building up the snowpack on the north shore mountains.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Nov 01, 2022 10:51 am January! I have my doubts... :problem:
January arctic blast or snowy Christmas week? Which one would you prefer?
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Nov 01, 2022 10:56 am Likely a lot of cold rain and a bit of slush for the lowlands. Good pattern for building up the snowpack on the north shore mountains.
I think there will be some low elevation snow and a surprise or two, but yeah, it won't stick around for too long.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

My current wunderground 10-day. Definitely a lot more realistic than some of the Goofus output we have seen. Would have no complaints if this verifies.
Screenshot from 2022-11-01 10-44-12.png
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Nov 01, 2022 10:57 am January arctic blast or snowy Christmas week? Which one would you prefer?
Snowy Christmas week going into a January arctic blast (of the fart free variety).
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Nov 01, 2022 10:57 am January arctic blast or snowy Christmas week? Which one would you prefer?
The best timeframe for both significant cold and duration is in the late December to early February timeframe. So this is an easy one -- January for sure.

Although... if it had been 30 years since we last saw a classic Arctic blast in mid-late December (which we've seen three times in that timeframe -- 1996, 2008, and 2021) , I'd say Christmas week but the decline of January is pretty insane.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Tue Nov 01, 2022 11:07 am Snowy Christmas week going into a January arctic blast (of the fart free variety).
Can I order one up for this winter? :think:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Euro, Thurs AM.

SFU special?
thursam.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Pretty clear where January stands.
Image

Data: Vancouver PMO (1898-1936) + YVR (1936-2018)
Note: February 2019 averaged 0.4c.
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