December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

I grew up in snow country, and the first significant snowfall of every season always featured lots of drivers doing stupid things. (It is as if many people think the laws of physics relating to friction might have changed over summer or something.) On subsequent snowfalls, the quality of winter driving becomes much more realistic and responsible. The rub is, we often get only one significant snowfall per season, so never get beyond that initial learning stage.

Also, the first PNW winter I experienced, I was aghast at how poorly plowed and sanded the roads tended to be. We just don’t have the amount of equipment that snowier places do. That alone makes winter driving much harder here. Add that to the lack of practice and it is not a pretty picture.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

I got down to -5.9C with a wind chill of -12.3C. Currently -5.0C
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

This next troff is one where we need our Wetcoast moisture to show us what its made of and ""Saturate" us in spite of the waffling models :clap: :clap:
:flakey: :flakey: :flakey: :flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 10:18 am Getting dark here, low clouds moving in. Snow??? Fingers crossed. Forecast is for a sunny day so just maybe :flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
No snow.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

HRDPS, what is this?

Image
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 10:43 am HRDPS, what is this?

Image
An unrealistic outcome.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 10:46 am An unrealistic outcome.
Euro and GFS are also showing light snow for metro Vancouver Friday night.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 10:59 am Euro and GFS are also showing light snow for metro Vancouver Friday night.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 9:47 am Some clips I have seen...

Sure you can blame the municipalities and the BC MOT but I knew as a 16 year old driver that snow/ice and hills are very risky to event attempt and there is no where to go if you get stuck. I would have either better planned my route or stuck it out at restaurant instead of attempting the journey.
To be fair, lots of people did wait it out and still got stuck in the mess. Perhaps employers should have been more active in shutting things down and letting people go before the snow came in. Not realistic for all scenarios, but even a little would have helped. I got off work at midnight, sat around until 3am and it still took me 1.5 hours to get home.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 10:46 am An unrealistic outcome.
I meant the 6 extra low centres (mesos???) of the same pressure as the parent low
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Some stratospheric warming modelled over Siberia. I don't think it would be considered a SSW event but I wonder if this could still cause the models to struggle in the extended? :think:
ecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-t10_anom-0522400.png
gfs-deterministic-nhemi-t10_anom-0522400.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Not properly protected thermometer, but still impressive...
*Deleted*
Last edited by Glacier on Thu Dec 01, 2022 5:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

dec.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 11:19 amdec.png
Are the weeklies put yet ? :shock:
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 10:46 am An unrealistic outcome.
:lol: :lol: :clap:
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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