December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Nito!
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Happy New Years Eve!
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Dec 30, 2022 11:05 pm I believe that was taken in Agassiz.
You are correct
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british- ... -1.6700526
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The retrogression theme continues on the ensemble. #extrapolation

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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

PortKells wrote: Fri Dec 30, 2022 9:16 pm Do you have temps as well?
Capture d’écran 2022-12-31 à 13.55.32.jpg
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Dec 31, 2022 1:55 pm Capture d’écran 2022-12-31 à 13.55.32.jpg
I would assume the warming is overwhelmingly due to the increase in Tmins?

Likely would see it even more prominently at YXX.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

This looks better too. This looks very familiar to what we were seeing around the start of December as the precursor to our big event.
eps_z500a_namer_61 (3).png
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (69).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (70).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (71).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20221231222023-dbc9d0aa0f778c595afe283b2da9da6948b060d8.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Sat Dec 31, 2022 2:14 pm This looks better too. This looks very familiar to what we were seeing around the start of December as the precursor to our big event.

eps_z500a_namer_61 (3).png
It’s nice to see signs of winter returning on the models. No guarantees but the trend is our friend at this point. :thumbup: :flakey:
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Dec 31, 2022 2:29 pm It’s nice to see signs of winter returning on the models. No guarantees but the trend is our friend at this point. :thumbup: :flakey:
One thing I found interesting about the recent event was the model progression from backdoor dry blast to suddenly a pure north south blast. Shows how unclear the models are that far out. Maybe this will turn out similarly. Or not.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

As PortMan mentioned... some signs/hints/teasers of a pattern change as we get later into Jan.

:dunno:
1.png
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2.png
2t.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

6z GFS :14clown: range spit this out for mid-Jan.
clown.png
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:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:14clown: FS
15-25.png
20-30.png
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:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#extrapolate
PNA GEFS.png
PNAEPS.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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