January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Record cold potential still in the cards for Quebec and the Maritimes on Friday/Saturday.

:chilly:
gfs_T2m_secan_16.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

It just started snowing! Small flakes falling straight down, very light. Nothing on radar but it's nice to see. :clap: :clap:
Still have most of the snow from the night, it's been cold enough it didn't melt.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Very good model agreement for another round of light snow tonight.

Per earlier discussion, temperatures will be marginal, so we shall see. It may end up being a Pornoman special, but not necessarily!
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5274400.png
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hrrr-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5274400.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5274400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

I notice that EC has changed tonight’s forecast from rain showers to rain showers or flurries.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

From EC

Forecast issued: 4:00 PM PST Tuesday 31 January 2023
Wet snow mixed with rainTonight
1°C
Cloudy. 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries early this evening. Wet snow mixed with rain beginning this evening. Local snowfall amount 4 cm over higher terrain. Wind east 20 km/h becoming light early this evening. Temperature steady near plus 1
Last edited by Weather101 on Tue Jan 31, 2023 4:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Radar filling up on the island
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Tue Jan 31, 2023 3:06 pm Just thinking of Rob's unhappiness fills me with joy. Is it Christmas again?
Christmas part 2 lol
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Weather101 wrote: Tue Jan 31, 2023 4:59 pm Radar filling up on the island
Yup.
Screenshot 2023-01-31 at 17.04.32.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

While there is nothing major shown on the models yet, there is the potential for another round of winter later in February. :thumbup:

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-6570400.png
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-albertabc-t2m_c_anom-6570400.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Jan 31, 2023 5:52 pm While there is nothing major shown on the models yet, there is the potential for another round of winter later in February. :thumbup:


gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-6570400.png

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-albertabc-t2m_c_anom-6570400.png
Not a bad ensemble, probably nothing crazy but probably chilly with a snow chance. Only 33 cm to go for my goal of 100.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Why is radar doing the knocking on the door for 3 hours thing the atmosphere is saturated innit?
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Jan 31, 2023 1:23 pm @VanCitySouth might enjoy this:

Screenshot 2023-01-31 at 13.20.18.png
I was down in Portland for the weekend, so I was sort of hoping they would have scored that once modeled Saturday/Sunday snowfall.

:silent:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Tue Jan 31, 2023 6:41 pm Not a bad ensemble, probably nothing crazy but probably chilly with a snow chance. Only 33 cm to go for my goal of 100.
A February 2018 repeat would be nice. :clap: :thumbup: :flakey:
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Jan 31, 2023 6:43 pm Why is radar doing the knocking on the door for 3 hours thing the atmosphere is saturated innit?
I was just going to post the same thing. It’s being such a tease tonight.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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