June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Severe T.S. Warning just issued for the central valley :wtf: l don't believe it. :bs:
Screenshot_20230627_181253_WeatherCAN.jpg
Well potential is there definitely looks threatening towards the Cheam range.
20230627_184017.jpg
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Eat our dust, New York.
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Jun 27, 2023 5:49 am E.C. which personally l think A.I. has taken over :wtf: is calling for 28c Friday and 29c for Saturday and Sunday in the central valley as we belly flop into July. :sick: :x
:pool:
That would explain a lot. A measly 25c for Fri, 26c Sat but Sunday, 28c and Mon 29c bring the heat. Fingers crossed they realize it's all AI and scale it back, wouldn't complain if they added a little rain too. :wish: :wish:
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Mattman wrote: Tue Jun 27, 2023 1:58 pm Hope the attachments work. Got back yesterday from the family reunion in Lacombe, AB. Took the oldest two kids. Weather was perfect. Very few bugs. Lacombe (all of Alberta) was dry all year. But they picked up about 100mm of rain in June, so it was a little muggy when we pulled into my uncle's farm on the 22nd. We camped in the yard. He got a fireworks permit and spent $1,800 on fireworks he got for 1/2 price. (Every year we have fireworks that seem to increase in number with each passing year). The other picture is of the boxes of fireworks that were set up ready for nightfall. The display rivalled many municipalities on Canada Day. The oldest two met cousins (1st removed) they hadn't met, rode machinery, shot a 22, and got fresh country air. This can be summed up with six F's: Faith, family, farm, fire, firearms, fireworks.
Nice photos! Looks like a great time. That must have been some firework display!
I miss fireworks. We used to have a fantastic display here for Sea Cavalcade in Gibsons, they had a barge and set them up there but a few years ago a few people started complaining and now we don't have them. :(
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Jun 27, 2023 6:15 pm Severe T.S. Warning just issued for the central valley :wtf: l don't believe it. :bs: Screenshot_20230627_181253_WeatherCAN.jpg
Well potential is there definitely looks threatening towards the Cheam range.
20230627_184017.jpg
Good luck! I'm not sure if that'll mean you get t-storms or not. :lol: :lol:

A friend travelling through Kentucky sent me her warning: 'Severe t-storm warning with DESTRUCTIVE (their caps) baseball sized hail' :o
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Wed Jun 28, 2023 12:41 am Good luck! I'm not sure if that'll mean you get t-storms or not. :lol: :lol:

A friend travelling through Kentucky sent me her warning: 'Severe t-storm warning with DESTRUCTIVE (their caps) baseball sized hail' :o
That tornado alley down there is definitely not something to take lightly Ms. Nonthunderstormcreeks unlike up here where we don't pay attention it's the real deal Kentucky, Nebraska, Oklahoma l've watched some storm chasers on You Tube Reed Timmer is a good one with his Dominator vehicle look him up quite the chase vehicle. :wtf:
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Wed Jun 28, 2023 12:41 am Good luck! I'm not sure if that'll mean you get t-storms or not. :lol: :lol:

A friend travelling through Kentucky sent me her warning: 'Severe t-storm warning with DESTRUCTIVE (their caps) baseball sized hail' :o
Nothing happened :x not even a popcorn fart. :(
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Wed Jun 28, 2023 12:35 am That would explain a lot. A measly 25c for Fri, 26c Sat but Sunday, 28c and Mon 29c bring the heat. Fingers crossed they realize it's all AI and scale it back, wouldn't complain if they added a little rain too. :wish: :wish:
Actually AI Canada upped Monday to 31c :sick: for the central valley. :x :thumbdown:
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Tue Jun 27, 2023 6:54 pm Eat our dust, New York.

276226CF-2463-4488-B44C-C5A5B0789E76.png
Really really bad smoke in the city of Toronto got a phone call a few minutes ago.
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Happy anniversary of the hottest day in LM history (with the exception of the weird YVR station)!
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Wed Jun 28, 2023 9:44 am Happy anniversary of the hottest day in LM history (with the exception of the weird YVR station)!
Never want to experience that again!
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

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VanCitySouth wrote: Wed Jun 28, 2023 9:44 am Happy anniversary of the hottest day in LM history (with the exception of the weird YVR station)!
Garbage location! :roll:
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Re: June 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Heatwave coming up next week? :think: :thumbup:

12Z Euro:

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-7953600.png

Here's last nights 00Z Euro for comparison. Fairly intense in terms of heat and duration so not surprised that it backed off slightly today.

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-7910400.png

12Z GEM:

gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-7953600.png

17Z NBM:
nbm-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-7971600.png
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