October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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tyweather
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Inversion conditions are likely starting Sunday on the coast and Monday in the interior.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Wed Oct 25, 2023 9:31 am This was always going to be an East Island special, unfortunately.

Congrats Monty!

You have the honor of making the first official report in the snowfall post:

https://forums.bcstorm.ca/viewtopic.php ... ab0e37ce21

:wave: :thumbup:
Ended up with 10cm here. Lots of tree damage. Power, internet, cable and cell service has been down most of the day. Clear and chilly out now.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

That CFS spit out some fun stuff today.

:lol:
1.png
2.png
cfs_t2m_anom_northamerica_202312_1.png
cfs_z500_anom_northamerica_202312_1.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Monty wrote: Wed Oct 25, 2023 6:04 pm Ended up with 10cm here. Lots of tree damage. Power, internet, cable and cell service has been down most of the day. Clear and chilly out now.
Give it a week Mr. M should be all repaired. :lol: we reached a high of 9c in the central valley @ the pond in south Sardis and it's currently 5c here's a shot of one of the lower mountains l can see from the pond but most higher mountains look absolutely stunning with the first decent snowfall of the season. :thumbup:
20231025_180545.jpg
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Catnip wrote: Wed Oct 25, 2023 7:06 pm That CFS spit out some fun stuff today.

:lol:

1.png
2.png

cfs_t2m_anom_northamerica_202312_1.png
cfs_z500_anom_northamerica_202312_1.png
:o But won't that scare Graham. :roll:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Oct 25, 2023 7:06 pm That CFS spit out some fun stuff today.

:lol:

1.png
2.png

cfs_t2m_anom_northamerica_202312_1.png
cfs_z500_anom_northamerica_202312_1.png
Image
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Chilly at 11:30pm.
+3.2
DP -2

Wasn't it just summer?
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hound wrote: Wed Oct 25, 2023 11:30 pm Chilly at 11:30pm.
+3.2
DP -2

Wasn't it just summer?
It's currently 4c @ the pond in south Sardis with the occasional gust of annus NE winds in the central valley.
If you want to call it Summer Houndnoser remember he had the wet fall like stretch so it wasn't quite like a sudden switch.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png



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20231026133232-528d739c48607414dc8d67558b63f1bc7b0f7668.png
20231026133214-12bd1afc6323d1708256a867439c6bfb0bca5f17.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Oct 26, 2023 6:33 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png




---------------------------------------
20231026133232-528d739c48607414dc8d67558b63f1bc7b0f7668.png
20231026133214-12bd1afc6323d1708256a867439c6bfb0bca5f17.png
It appears we head into a wet stretch perhaps mid next week, all in all a typical fall IMO the million dollar question how mild will November be and wet. :dunno:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Chilly +1.2 - 6:50AM
DP: -2
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hound wrote: Thu Oct 26, 2023 6:46 am Chilly +1.2 - 6:50AM
DP: -2
It looks like 2c is the lowest so far in the central valley @ the pond barely a breeze when l left work in Abbs down near Sumas. But as soon as l turned the Whatcom Rd. corridor the wind picked up from the NE but it's not as bad this morning in Chilliwack it's currently 3c.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

I thought I hit my low this morning but temp has fallen since my first post.
Now +0.6
DP -3
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

0.1˚C and frosty out there.

Edit: 0.0˚C now. First freeze and first frost.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Oct 26, 2023 7:29 am 0.1˚C and frosty out there.
Not in the central valley Rubes as the Annus NE fart winds continue to stir things up out here plus it's too dry for frost as well. :damn: but we have a couple more cracks at it the winds should die down tonight. :thumbup:
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