January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
- PortKells
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Apparently the GEM wasn't good. We need the Euro and the EPS before we should really get our hopes and dreams alive.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
#day10plus
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Happy New Yer Leah and welcome to the forums. It'll be nice to have weather reports from Salt Spring.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
FWIW, the ICON looks similar to the GFS at hour 180, but you have to extrapolate.
- Hawk
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Nito doesnt need to enter the house. He is in perpetual victory every day on here.
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Snow levels skyrocketed here - Similkameen - last night. Led to a rainy evening
Last edited by Hawk on Wed Jan 01, 2020 9:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
but Storm might have one for u!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
- Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Let's give credit where it is due. Its now 2020 and we can turn the page on a very sad Nov and Dec. Nito crushed us snowlovers
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Still around freezing in an area that is too coastal. Snowed all day/evening there too.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Very rare to see that in the forecast 2 days before the event...
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
That's odd indeed... the Abbotsford forecast just says "windy". I guess they expect it to be less windy here? I haven't been paying much attention, but I thought the models showed the strongest winds being in the valley -- not that I put a lot of faith in the models.Canada Goose wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 9:51 am Very rare to see that in the forecast 2 days before the event...
Capture d’écran 2020-01-01 à 09.47.58.jpg
Anyway, I find it highly unlikely to see wind gusts over 100 km/h for the mainland with the center of low pressure passing so far to our north. I'm not saying it could not happen with a very squally cold front, but it's kind of uncharted territory. The only instances where I've seen wind gusts exceed 100 km/h are with a strong surface low or a major outflow event.
Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Looks like the euro botched things back with the wind potential
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
I think the euro has been so windy because it has been showing a second low forming along the front just west of Vancouver island, with a tight gradient to its south. These double barrel low type situations have historically given the models trouble and often lead to less extreme outcomesAbby_wx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 10:06 am That's odd indeed... the Abbotsford forecast just says "windy". I guess they expect it to be less windy here? I haven't been paying much attention, but I thought the models showed the strongest winds being in the valley -- not that I put a lot of faith in the models.
Anyway, I find it highly unlikely to see wind gusts over 100 km/h for the mainland with the center of low pressure passing so far to our north. I'm not saying it could not happen with a very squally cold front, but it's kind of uncharted territory. The only instances where I've seen wind gusts exceed 100 km/h are with a strong surface low or a major outflow event.
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North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft