November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[wetcoast91]

Monty might want to keep his snowblower… he may need it.

No!

We must destroy it to further up the totals

[Catnip]

No!

We must destroy it to further up the totals

Stupid me… Of course! What was I thinking.

[Bonovox]

No!

We must destroy it to further up the totals

You could sacrifice your shovel. Every bit counts.

[Catnip]

You could sacrifice your shovel. Every bit counts.

He should send his shovel to Rob. Apparently he likes digging stuff.

[Monty]

You could sacrifice your shovel. Every bit counts.

I could run his snow shovel through my snow blower.

[wetcoast91]

I could run his snow shovel through my snow blower.

I will also send you my 3 bags of salt, 2 sets of winter tires and my car snow brush.

1996 redux.

[Abby_wx]

Anyone notice the air feels different today? Kind of a bite to it even though the temp hasn't really changed. Pre-arctic?

The temp/dew point doesn't really explain it, so I'm not sure what the scientific explanation would be.

[Storm]

18z Euro

20221126_171454.jpg

[Typeing3]

Approaching the anniversary of a classic south coast snowstorm... November 30th, 1975! Will we see a repeat?

Totals from that storm:

YVR: 22.1cm
Kerrisdale: 22.9cm
UBC: 24.2cm
Kitsilano: 25.4cm
North Van Wharves: 24.1cm
North Van Cleveland Dam: 26.4cm
North Van Lynn Creek: 33.3cm
Burnaby Capitol Hill: 33.0cm
Coquitlam Como Lake: 30.0cm
Surrey Kwantlen Park: 25.7cm
Pitt Meadows: 25.4cm
Langley Willoughby: 27.9cm
Aldergrove: 27.4cm
YXX: 31.8cm
Chilliwack Downtown: 34.0cm

[Storm]

From AF. This is not bad at all. This is the control run.

image.thumb.gif.9bbe56e13eafb40fba8b3d08eafdaed6.gif

[Hound]

Approaching the anniversary of a classic south coast snowstorm... November 30th, 1975! Will we see a repeat?

Wow! That was a pretty solid dump right across the whole LM. Be great to see that again!
Let 2022 be the new 1975!

[Typeing3]

18z Euro

20221126_171454.jpg

Importantly... surface winds remain offshore.

ecmwf_mslp_wind_nwus_fh72-90.gif

Temps right at the edge. Get ready to shovel concrete. Good old fashioned Vancouver snowstorm.

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_fh72-90.gif

[PortKells]

Importantly... surface winds remain offshore.
ecmwf_mslp_wind_nwus_fh72-90.gif



Temps right at the edge. Get ready to shovel concrete. Good old fashioned Vancouver snowstorm.
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_fh72-90.gif

The base for later for powdery snow

[Typeing3]

18z Euro... surface winds Wednesday 4am. Border forcefield in full effect. Still easterly flow at the surface across the lower mainland but unfortunately southern Vancouver island gets in on the onshore winds.

ecfull_2022-11-26-18Z_090_51.353_232.952_47.088_241.181_Winds_10m_highways_cities.png

Corresponding rain/mix/snow radar at the same hour matches up well with the wind direction.

ecfull_2022-11-26-18Z_090_51.353_232.952_47.088_241.181_Rain-Snow_Radar_highways.png

[Storm]

Importantly... surface winds remain offshore.
ecmwf_mslp_wind_nwus_fh72-90.gif



Temps right at the edge. Get ready to shovel concrete. Good old fashioned Vancouver snowstorm.
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_fh72-90.gif

I mean, we were tracking snow to rain to snow not that long ago and we were hoping to get some snow. Now we are tracking snow possibly, maybe, if at all will change to rain, not a bad place to be in

Also our odds are better that Seattle and Portland getting snow.